Last 7 of 318 in a special weekend long live tournament at my local casino (Bristol) tonight.
£570 locked up (6. £720 5. £880 4. £1170 3. £1940 2. £2900 1. £4470)
40k/80k with a 10k ante, a few minutes in to the 30 minute level. 7.85m in play inc reported surrendered chips with an avg of 1.12m.
Folded to the Hero on the button with J
T
and 650k after the ante. Very aggressive SB is second in chips, around 2m, and the BB, who's tighter, is playing about 900k.
With 190k in the pot before any action and many unchallenged wins with raises and shoves, I feel I can't and shouldn't lay this down with the strongest of connectors.
I didn't consider the call, which I suppose could be viable(?), but pondered the raise or the shove for about 30 seconds... which, notably I think, was much longer than my 7 successful previous shoves at the FT, which all occurred within 5 seconds of me looking at my hand (though they were all stronger than JTs).
Noting that I'd probably shown weakness by pondering for such a relatively long time and that, unlike all before (save for one SB open shove), I'm now in an obvious stealing position, I decided to
bet 200k. I thought that I could possibly lay it down if I'm shoved on and that I'd quite like to see a flop.
SB folds but the BB shoves.
I then realise that with just 450k behind, I don't like the idea of folding afterall.
450k to win 1.04m, 2.3/1... I just need 30% right?
But then why did I just raise to begin with, if I'm not going to fold?
Or does the possibility of seeing a flop counter this, as I would be more willing to reluctantly fold post-flop?
What are your opinions?... Does the raise have merit given the stacks and ICM, or should I definitely be shoving for the max fold equity?
Thoughts appreciated. Cheers
Last edited by Rikard; 12-10-2018 at 12:22 AM.
Reason: 'on' to 'of'