Kinda weird spot multiway early in a bounty builder. MP1 and MP3 are both very spewy and from experience, the pot sized bet on the flop is very often a weak top pair or a draw. Folding flop given the price and our equity feels bad, and shoving with only a backdoor flushdraw and an open-ender is guaranteed to have at best 35% equity.
On the turn I decided to donk-shove to maximize fold equity since we are never folding either way, which I doubt is a great move since villain still called with the weak queen and the king does not really hit our flop calling range. Is it better to check and hope to see a free river while calling if villain shoves?
Turn: (4,104) K (3 players)
Hero bets 2,780 and is all-in, MP1 calls 2,780, MP3 folds
River: (9,664) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: 9,664 pot
Final Board: 4 3 Q K 2
MP1 showed Q 8 and lost (-4,000 net)
MP3 mucked and lost (-1,220 net)
Hero showed 6 5 and won 9,664 (5,664 net)
Can one of you guys explain this a bit please. If on the flop the pot odds were 25%, (after a raise and then a call), and with 8 outs he had about 32% chance, why he should have bee folding? Thanks
32% is the odds of completing the straight by the river but given the action it won't be easy for villain to get to the river. Calling off 25% of his stack with a 16% chance to complete his straight on the next card isn't worth it.
If hero had 100bb effective then the implied odds could justify the call even when he isn't getting the direct odds.
32% is the odds of completing the straight by the river but given the action it won't be easy for villain to get to the river. Calling off 25% of his stack with a 16% chance to complete his straight on the next card isn't worth it.
If hero had 100bb effective then the implied odds could justify the call even when he isn't getting the direct odds.