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Small Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of small stakes MTT strategy

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Old 02-14-2019, 10:06 PM   #1
Join Date: Feb 2018
Posts: 119
KQo bluffing spot?

PokerStars - 125/250 Ante 30 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 29.42 BB (VPIP: 39.39, PFR: 17.19, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 66)
BB: 31.07 BB (VPIP: 25.64, PFR: 19.23, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 79)
UTG: 2.22 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
UTG+1: 19.47 BB (VPIP: 13.71, PFR: 6.78, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 124)
Hero (MP): 20.66 BB
CO: 25.62 BB (VPIP: 10.81, PFR: 8.82, 3Bet Preflop: 5.19, Hands: 222)
BTN: 81.98 BB (VPIP: 26.26, PFR: 21.26, 3Bet Preflop: 9.80, Hands: 180)

7 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.34 BB) Hero has K Q

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.2 BB, fold, BTN calls 2.2 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (6.74 BB, 2 players) 3 2 J
Hero bets 2.26 BB, BTN raises to 5.75 BB, Hero ???

V call 2bet from co,btn 1/11, 3b preflop 5/52 x/r flop 2/5, raise cbet 0/2

What do you think about his range? pocket pairs? FD? Trapped AA,KK without spade ? Which Jx do you think he raise here? I'm thinking that i could jam here - I block KJ and QJ and unblock FD look very strong and have 2 overcards . What do you think about this?

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Old 02-15-2019, 04:52 AM   #2
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Posts: 963
Re: KQo bluffing spot?

Open shove PF is OK on my chart and a decent option imo.

I think we can c-f flop some % of the time with no backdoor FD especially given stack sizes, BTN is going to be annoying there. When we cbet we're sort of commited to barrel on T/Q/K/A I'd say and mostly c-f the rest but none of those "good turns" is really that great and barrel a blank seems random and it means half our stack in the pot. I also think BTN will have slowplays PF, looking at his stats it seems he would 3-bet a decent amount what you're hopping he folds vs cbet.

As played just fold, you're so close to the bottom of your range, he will have a bunch of AJ/QQ+, some sets, and he might raise/call some nut flush draws, when you don't even beat a good part of his bluffs it's a good time to give up. Even if he raises A4hh/A5dd he's pretty much commited to raise/call.
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Old 02-15-2019, 10:58 AM   #3
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,458
Re: KQo bluffing spot?

You can't shove, he's committing himself to playing for your stack when he makes this raise.

I check flop, you whiffed pretty badly and you don't have room to maneuver with your stack. I'd provably x/c a small flop bet and x/f unimproved on the turn.
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Old 02-15-2019, 11:21 AM   #4
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Re: KQo bluffing spot?

This hand finds it's way into my check/fold range on the flop unfortunately. With your stack, you have to be careful to balance your c-bet range, because he can easily shove on you here. (The fact that he 2bet you small is another alarm bell.) So you don't want an unbalanced c-bet as your bet/fold % will be too high. And you should have a decent amount of flush draws in your range to fill out a good bluff range.
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Old 02-15-2019, 07:14 PM   #5
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Re: KQo bluffing spot?

Why'd you bet so small on the flop if you wanna incorporate bluffs?
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Old 02-15-2019, 10:37 PM   #6
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Re: KQo bluffing spot?

i think you played it fine assuming you folded. I think x/f flop is also fine, x/ jamming is awful
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