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J9s in 3b Pot on river. J9s in 3b Pot on river.

04-21-2019 , 01:36 PM
PokerStars - 1500/3000 Ante 375 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 24.45 BB (VPIP: 15.79, PFR: 9.43, 3Bet Preflop: 13.04, Hands: 57)
MP+2: 23.39 BB (VPIP: 21.39, PFR: 13.88, 3Bet Preflop: 6.49, Hands: 1,009)
Hero (CO): 58.54 BB
BTN: 23.95 BB (VPIP: 18.33, PFR: 13.73, 3Bet Preflop: 4.23, Hands: 795)
SB: 129.22 BB (VPIP: 83.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
BB: 17.85 BB (VPIP: 14.94, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 4.08, Hands: 155)
UTG: 22.95 BB (VPIP: 13.51, PFR: 8.11, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 37)
UTG+1: 56.95 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 6.38, Hands: 145)
MP: 36.24 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 13.95, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 45)

9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.62 BB) Hero has J 9

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2.37 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 6.4 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 4.03 BB

Flop: (15.42 BB, 2 players) J 9 7
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 12 BB, UTG+1 calls 12 BB

Turn: (39.42 BB, 2 players) T
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

River: (39.42 BB, 2 players) 3
UTG+1 bets 20.5 BB, Hero calls 20.5 BB

UTG+1 shows K 8 (Straight, Jack High)
(Pre 56%, Flop 19%, Turn 88%)
Hero mucks J 9 (Two Pair, Jacks and Nines)
(Pre 44%, Flop 81%, Turn 13%)
UTG+1 wins 80.42 BB


I have 25% on river... If vilan bet all his Top pair is call. But in pratic is ok call here ?
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-21-2019 , 05:49 PM
This is a weird spot because I don't think your opponent has too many bluff combinations here and the argument could be made that your range is uncapped as you're able to check back on the turn w/ Nut flush draws some percentage of the time, making his river lead of 1/2 pot look pretty strong.

How are you calculating 25%? I'm assuming you're adding your 20.5 BB call into the total pot of roughly 59 BB (once villain bets) to arrive at 20.5 / ~80 to arrive at 25%. I think the frequency you actually want to reference here is 20.5 / 59 to arrive at 34%. I think J9 would fall within the top 34% of your linear distribution of hands you "have" on the river but this is not taking blockers into consideration. I think I'd probably rather be calling here with AceJack w/ the ace of clubs, Aces with ace of clubs, and potentially Queens of Kings with the club to block his flush combinations. With that in mind, I'd probably be sigh folding the jack 9 in this exact spot and paying off with the overpair flush blockers, ace jack with ace of clubs, shoving my flushes.

Your 8's and Queen king combos should be betting turn.
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-22-2019 , 05:03 AM
I'm not sure if I dig isoing a reg who opens from early position with a hand that plays decently multiway.
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-22-2019 , 11:57 AM
Villain is pretty aggressive but is he positionally aggressive? Is his ep pfr around 23% or more like 10-15%?
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-22-2019 , 01:53 PM
dont hate the 3 bet but the sizing is toooo small 3.5x vs this guy imo
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-27-2019 , 01:30 AM
Dont like pre, esp when there is shortstacks in the blinds, we would have to call them off after 3b. Just flat call or fold.
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote
04-27-2019 , 05:34 AM
Would have said consider checking back flop but if they're going to make these appalling flop calls then it's bombs away.

Turn good.

River, you tainted my opinion by posting results so I dont care.
J9s in 3b Pot on river. Quote

      
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