Hey fam,
Made this potentially ridiculous AA fold, lemme know what you think.
FULL HAND:
https://play.globalpoker.com/gp/10/h...4b0566f2920acc
Global Poker $1.5K Turbo [6max]
5 players left, with pretty serious pay jumps starting with 3rd+. Very important to note there are three small stacks and then Villain and I. I have been raising about 50% of my range for since the top 10.
UTG: 21,434 (18BB)
HERO (UTG+2/MP): 72,645 (61BB)
D: 33,266 (27BB)
SB: 9,986 (8BB)
Villain (BB): 52,269 (44BB)
SB posts 600, BB posts 1200
Preflop: Hero looks down at A
A
, raises to 2750.
Villain 3bets to 4300 in the BB.
Hero 4bets to 10,800 (small 4-bet due to small stacks around him). BB Calls
Flop (Pot: 22,800): 9
10
10
Villain donk leads pot 22,800 (leaving 19k behind). Hero Folds.
Notes: This is a tough spot for me:
I really do not think he is leading with his overpairs JJ QQ KK, and I do not think he is bluffing with air when there is 3 shorties left and we are the two biggest stacks. This pot size bet leaves him with less than a quarter pot on the turn, so I treat the bet as an open shove of 40K. Using this logic and strength, his loose 4bet calling range seems to be A10, K10s, Q10s, 99. Granted that is a small value range but I just do not see any bluffs in this spot... unless he is just punting and is crazy with a flush draw? With pay jumps pretty steep near the end and a few >20BB stacks around, I came to a fold.
What do you think of the fold?
Last edited by YiuWen; 01-15-2019 at 04:05 PM.
Reason: Grammar