Hero has 1010 in cutoff with about 30 bigs in tournament several from the money.
Folds to hero, hero raises 2400 (2.4x)Big blind calls. Flops comes QQ3 with flush draw. Villian checks, hero bet 3000. Villian check minraises to 6000. Hero calls. Opponent is semi competent and could do this is he feels I'm cbetting light to put on pressure and get me to fold some of my opening range.
Turn 2 for second flush draw on board. Bb checks. Hero checks. Even though this line would be plausible for a flush draw, random bluffs and sometimes a boat. I think its pertinent to check here and keep from getting check raised off of my hand.
River Q. BB bets 8000. Hero? What kind of queen check raises flop and checks turn on teo flush drag board. I think bare queen probably ship turn to protect his hand snd get equity from possibly worse. Any boats other than maybe 33 or 22 seems very unlikely. How do they feel good to bet river unless he reads me on ace high with boats that could easily be counterfeited now. I would think check decide would be the best line for that.
Now if he felt he can only win with a bet because he did try to do it wide, all in seems more buffy than a bet like this where it seems like value. Getting decent price. Should I be calling off because when I check turn back my hand becomes a bluff catcher? Thoughts?
With that river card we are not afraid of 22 or 33 because if villain has one of those hands he would have queens full of tres or dueces against your queens full of tens.
If my math is correct there is about 18,000 before villain's river bet meaning we are getting better than 4 to 1 on a call since the money we put in to call his bet we get back if we win. Given that villain likely figures sometimes you called his raise with a flush draw and perhaps ace highs since it was just a min raise he could be value betting worse like 99/88. So to me it looks like a mandatory call.
Turn 2 for second flush draw on board. Bb checks. Hero checks. Even though this line would be plausible for a flush draw, random bluffs and sometimes a boat. I think its pertinent to check here and keep from getting check raised off of my hand.
Thoughts?
I think the turn is most interesting part of this hand, but it's hard to really discuss a hand without all the info...still Id be inclined to bet turn
