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FT: when all are middle stacks !!

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07-14-2020 , 12:30 PM

miguelin43

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 820

Hi guys, lets see what you think

The shover is 13/9 in 250 hands

Rest of players are regs

What do we do in these spots when all players have more or less same stack? Is it worth to risk?

I ended calling and now think its a mistake...even if i win my "chip lead" over the rest is not as big as to justify the risk

What do you think?

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.90 Buy-in (5,000/10,000 blinds, 1,250 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 193,271 (19.3 bb)
Hero (BB): 184,249 (18.4 bb)
MP: 204,322 (20.4 bb)
CO: 98,968 (9.9 bb)
BTN: 222,190 (22.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q

MP folds, CO raises to 97,718 and is all-in, 2 folds, Hero calls 87,718

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07-14-2020 , 02:13 PM

oldgoat

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 1,972

you are slightly ahead of CO's range - I would guess somewhere in the region 50-55% equity and there are pot odds but I doubt its enough to compensate for ICM - close-ish fold imo - but don't take my word for it - try plugging into ICMizer

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07-15-2020 , 07:53 AM

000Puh4u

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 322

Probably it is very close. Unlikely to make or break your career. Move on to the next hand.

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07-16-2020 , 12:55 PM

Darth_Maul

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 4,435

I think it's a pretty good rule of thumb that when you face a close decision like this, the ICM considerations should tip you towards a fold.

The risk of losing this hand and having your stack cut to less than 10bb without eliminating a player is greater than the benefit of knocking him out and adding 10bb to your stack. Which is just a plain English way of explaining the impact of ICM.

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