Hold'em No Limit - Level XLIII (80000/160000)
BTN: Hero (4197509 in chips)
BB: cmgazela (11760692 in chips)
Hero: [Kc Td]
All fold to Hero
Hero: raises 185000 to 345000
SB: folds
cmgazela: raises 775000 to 1120000
Hero: raises 3057509 to 4177509 and is all-in
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I ran ICMIZER to check my move, which shows this is a positive(+0.17). But I calculated the tournament odds(《Kill Phil 2》which introduce tournament odds=bubble factors/pot odds), which suggests the big blind can call my shove with K9s+ .

My point is do you guys think that my shove is profitable?

my position was 18/28 in the tournament, and pay jump
1st:9530,2nd:6684,3rd:4690,4th:3291,5th:2310,6th:1 621,7th:1137,8th:798,9th:560,10th-12th:393,13-15th:275,16-23rd:193,24-31st:135.

Any stats or reads on the vil, this late in a tourney should have some idea. if vil has high steal rate against btn opn then i guess we can shove this as a 4b bluff.

Think it's a bit spew tbh,

Happy to open this on the btn

It's too risky to go AI with KTo imho. Just fold and wait for a better spot.