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Defending blinds near bubble Defending blinds near bubble

05-09-2020 , 03:49 PM
$1 180 players

PokerStars - 150/300 Ante 25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 36.77 BB
CO: 35.52 BB
BTN: 36.02 BB
SB: 8.2 BB
Hero (BB): 48.62 BB
UTG: 14.73 BB
UTG+1: 18.78 BB
MP: 29.85 BB

8 players post ante of 0.08 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.17 BB) Hero has 5 A

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (5.17 BB, 2 players) Q 5 5
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 2.58 BB, Hero raises to 7.75 BB, MP+1 calls 5.17 BB

Turn: (20.67 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 10.33 BB, MP+1 calls 10.33 BB

River: (41.33 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero bets 28.45 BB and is all-in, MP+1 calls 16.6 BB and is all-in

Spoiler:
Hero shows 5 A (Three of a Kind, Fives)
(Pre 54%, Flop 87%, Turn 77%)
MP+1 shows K Q (Flush, King High)
(Pre 46%, Flop 13%, Turn 23%)
MP+1 wins 74.53 BB
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-09-2020 , 07:32 PM
I could be wrong but I think x/r flop is pretty standard.. def my go to line
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-09-2020 , 11:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain-Hindsight
I could be wrong but I think x/r flop is pretty standard.. def my go to line
Yeah, c/r and c/c are both fine here. If we're raising should prob raise more so you can jam turn or just flat and c/r turn when he inevitably bets most of his range.
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05-10-2020 , 03:18 AM
I prefer calling flop and raising turn, but this is a bad cooler and such things happen all the time. Don't get discouraged ( and don't post the results)
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-14-2020 , 05:03 AM
Just out of interest, what bluffs would you have in your range when check raising on this board?
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05-14-2020 , 03:58 PM
I'm not x/raising this flop. Although you have more 5x than he does, villain still has a big range advantage on this flop because he has all big pairs and good Qx. Plus you don't want to fold out all his missed stuff or middling pairs. As olivestone pointed out, you don't have bluffs like draws in your range here so your x/r looks super-nutty.
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-14-2020 , 06:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by olivestone
Just out of interest, what bluffs would you have in your range when check raising on this board?
Hands that block 5's and turn backdoor equity are good. 67ss/hh/dd are good to start with.
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-14-2020 , 06:57 PM
Why does villain just have to fold a middle pair when we c/r? If he's folding a middle pair here then we can just c/r a lot more to exploit him. Villain needs to defend some pairs below Qx to a c/r or he'll be overfolding. He should be calling with 99-JJ to a c/r some % depending on how he views us. If we're not c/r this flop then villain can just b/f too much here. If we're not including 5x in our c/r range then we just can't have a c/r range. Which isn't great since according to Darth he has range advantage which means villain is suppose to be at a higher frequency (more often, not sizing) for a small size here. We combat his position and wide range with high frequency by c/r. We add a value combo to c/r to give the c/r range validity. We could argue to call cause A5 is the literal top of our range besides quads tho and raise worse 5's. He has a range advantage pre but we have more value hands than villain that can go 3 streets. Sure villain has KQo+ prob and QQ/middling pairs but we have basically every 5 and that crushes his naked Q's. So just count the combos and we should be pretty close with all the 5's we can defend here.
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-14-2020 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth_Maul
I'm not x/raising this flop. Although you have more 5x than he does, villain still has a big range advantage on this flop because he has all big pairs and good Qx. Plus you don't want to fold out all his missed stuff or middling pairs. As olivestone pointed out, you don't have bluffs like draws in your range here so your x/r looks super-nutty.
This is probably a good point, Olivestone too. I think if the flop was say 55(9,8,7,6) we can make a good argument for raising our 5's because we should also be raising our straight draws (gunshots included), and often top pair.
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-15-2020 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain-Hindsight
This is probably a good point, Olivestone too. I think if the flop was say 55(9,8,7,6) we can make a good argument for raising our 5's because we should also be raising our straight draws (gunshots included), and often top pair.
Yes, a flop like 556 or 557 would be a much better flop to x/r for value, especially if there is a flush draw.
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05-15-2020 , 06:23 PM
How is having a flop that gives villain even less value hands a better spot to c/r for value?
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05-16-2020 , 03:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
How is having a flop that gives villain even less value hands a better spot to c/r for value?
For balance, since villain will expect us to x/r bluff on that flop often.
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-16-2020 , 03:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
How is having a flop that gives villain even less value hands a better spot to c/r for value?
it is a balance thing but also if you look at the hands villain is continuing with after we rise the Q high board it is AQ some KQ and a few QJ. If we look at a board like 559. Villain (I think) can continue with a lot more hands. Basically all of their 9s, some smaller pocket pairs like 88, 77, 66, over pairs and some combos like two over cards with a BDFD
Defending blinds near bubble Quote
05-16-2020 , 06:16 PM
If villain's only continuing range is Qx then we can just literally c/r at such an absurd frequency cause they should be betting this flop pretty often. So how does villain call down 3 streets or fold future streets if his only holdings are full houses (I assume top boat flats if we c/r flop obv) and top pairs?

So to circle back if villain expects us to not be bluffing as often then it seems like a good time to c/r bluff more. But what always happens here is people say well they're never folding and then I light myself on fire.
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05-16-2020 , 07:36 PM
it might make sense to raise that board (Q55r) with hands that block the the Q like JTs or AK but I don't really think it is about balance so much there just because the population doesn't really bluff raise that spot too often
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05-26-2020 , 05:55 PM
I was doing one of the Upswing quizes today and this came up, thought it would be worth sharing as it relates back to this hand:

Quote:
Situation #6
Live $2/$5. 8-Handed. Effective Stacks $800.

Hero is in the Cutoff with T♥ 7♥
Solid Sam (Lojack) raises to $15, Loose Louis (Cutoff) calls, Crazy Carl (Button) calls, Wino Wendy (Small Blind) calls, Hero calls.

Flop ($75): A♠ 7♦ 7♠
Wino Wendy checks, Hero checks, Solid Sam bets $45, Loose Louis folds, Crazy Carl calls, Wino Wendy folds, Hero…?

Call – Incorrect
Raise to $150 – Correct

If Hero were to call here, Solid Sam is unlikely to continue value-betting her Ax hands or bluff with her missed hands on the turn. If Hero raises pretty small, like 50% of the pot, it’s much more likely that she will call at least once. This is because there are flush draws possible, and she might think there is a chance Hero does this with a double backdoor draw (like 9♦ 8♦) every once in a while.

The fact that the loose aggressive recreational is also in the pot further incentivizes Hero to raise right away with the goal of extracting value from his relatively wide range.
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