Quote:
Originally Posted by deuceblocker
The problem OTF is you have a straight draw. You have 1.8xpot left and you are 26% against AA, and maybe 25% against 77+. You could just call the flop, but you can't fold.
a. That sucks
b. 1.8x pot is significant--don't trivialize it; for example, you can easily string together triple barrels with SPR=1.8. Being "pot committed" has to be one of the most ******ed concepts promulgated over the years: it is simply just not a thing.
c. I promise you if he's only got overpairs and better then your gutshot doesn't mean anything and calling is losing chips. You certainly CAN fold; you can do whatever you want, GTO principles illuminate that there are few constraints and it all depends on your risky assumptions.
You read the OP and see a V who's opening wide; I severely disagree--I read the OP and see a V who, between a likely level change and losing some pots has over the course of 45mins slowly bled down from ~30bb to 17bb, has just opened form EP/MP off that 17bb stack (where most people open <10% of the time), and has now laid down a cbet (multiway, no less; and apparently his 1st cbet, too) on a flop texture that is notoriously misunderstood.
I think you're suboptimally trivializing basically everything about this spot.