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Bluff goes wrong OTT Bluff goes wrong OTT

12-12-2018 , 03:37 PM
Hi guys

V is 14/11 in 90 hands ; cbets 17%
I suppose he sees me as a quite tight guy , i dont defend many hands on the BB vs MP PFR (and even less against a tight guy like him)

Whwn he checks behind i suppose he doesnt have any pair , two hearts or AhX so with that brick OTT i try to make him fold any overcards he is checking with...but he called....now i am clueless about his range....should i continue with my bluff OTR?

Thanks

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $4.50 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 7,976 (39.9 bb)
Hero (BB): 11,796 (59 bb)
UTG+1: 2,565 (12.8 bb)
UTG+2: 9,243 (46.2 bb)
MP1: 18,562 (92.8 bb)
MP2: 15,164 (75.8 bb)
MP3: 16,553 (82.8 bb)
CO: 8,588 (42.9 bb)
BTN: 7,660 (38.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
4 folds, MP3 raises to 440, 3 folds, Hero calls 240

Flop: (1,205) 2 6 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks

Turn: (1,205) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets 769, MP3 calls 769

River: (2,743) 5 (2 players)
Hero ?
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote
12-13-2018 , 02:29 AM
Based off of his tendencies do you think he's folding AQ AK 88 77 enough to warrant a bet? If so then go ahead and bet. If not check fold.
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote
12-13-2018 , 04:26 AM
Bluff does not have to fold out all the hands, only some hands. If V called it does not mean that something went wrong.
This is a good board/position to represent 6x - 65s, 64s, 76s, 86s, 96s - it fits into the line you have taken : x on the flop with an intention to x/r, bet on the turn to charge pairs, flush draws, straight draws. Think what size would you bet with 6x on this river and V's range.
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote
12-13-2018 , 08:33 AM
Hand is too good to bluff with. Check/call turn, check/decide river.
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote
12-15-2018 , 11:28 AM
Explain why you bet the turn and u have your river answer.
What hands u want him to fold? Is my sizing correct? How narrow V's range my turn bet?

AP i would bet turn like 35-45% with plans to barrel good river ( more than half pot)
Or other line is bet strong on the turn (+75%) and check/decide river
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote
12-16-2018 , 06:29 PM
You have a good amount of SD value here, and your turn bet isn't a bluff per se, it's a thinnish vbet and a solid protection bet
Bluff goes wrong OTT Quote

      
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