hey all, I'm new in the forum and I have a question for someone more experienced than me: I seem to have ( over a 21k hand sample in 400 mtts ) really good bb/100 winrate but I haven't been "crushing" like my stats would suggest. My question is: what does this mean? is it just a matter of putting in the volume? or even with these stats I can still be a total fish?

this is a screenshot of my bb/100 win overall and by position:

https://imgur.com/a/6t3Fyts


thanks for the help, love from Italy.

you can check-out how "confident" bb/100 that you see in the stat is by using https://www.primedope.com/poker-variance-calculator/

hey ffsh thanks for the reply, but isn't the poker variance calculator used for cash games?
because it really dosen't answer my question and I probably explained my problem in the wrong way. My question is: since my positional stats and overall EV bb/100 are good why is my roi% bad? is it just a matter of putting volume in? or maybe these stats are just a little part of my roi%?

What I was trying to express is 21K hands sample size is too small to draw any reliable conclusions. I do not doubt your skills, but we all know that variance is the major factor in poker and small sample sizes are more likely to lead to extreme results like +8bb/100 from the big blind(it's -100bb/100 by default).

Any more thoughts on this?
Im kind of in the same spot as the OP

Tournaments are all about placing.

In most MTTs you need to get top 3 to get a good payout.

Doing well early on when stacks are big doesn't guarantee a good payout.

There are tournament specific skills to learn as stacks become shorter and payouts rise. You might have huge leaks in later stages of the tournaments.

And of course in small sample sizes run good/bad will swing the numbers a lot.

In tournaments, I would worry less about your BB win rate and more about your win rate in dollars.

First play a couple thousand of mtts of at least 1million hands to start worrying about your bb/100

Ciao Leo!

like others said, 21k Hands isn't a big sample. you can see it because their is a huge gap between bb/100 and expected bb/100. 21 vs 13. so it's fair to say you run really hot at the Moment. if you run bad, it could drop to 5 aswell.

the best example is the big blind. EV -9, actual +9. so you got very lucky when playing from the BB
over the Long turn, BB should Always be a negative bb/100. that's not a bad Thing, you can't win every Hand.

Overall bb/100 doesn't say a lot About Winning in tournaments. if you double up when 100bb Deep, then blind off until you have 10bb and lose an all-in, your bb/100 is still high, but you won no Money. more important are the stages of a Tournament. if you bust early, mid or late stage. but there are a lot of other threads discussing those things

post your stats again if you have at least 100k Hands played. bb/100 and EV bb/100 should be a lot Closer then.

This is HEM, right? What exactly is the difference between bb/100 and EV bb/100? Is this the equivalent to PT's BB/100 and All-In Equity BB/100?

If yes, you're running hot, but winrate is still very solid if you can keep it up.

And needs smaller sample size lol