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Any chance I don't go broke here? Any chance I don't go broke here?

02-19-2019 , 10:59 PM
No Limit Hold'em Tournament T150/T300
Buy-in: $6.69+$0.81 USD Hold'em No Limit
PokerStars
9 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com: Poker HUD for Mac and Windows

Stacks:
UTG - UTG (T3,110)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 (T34,618)
UTG+2 - UTG+2 (T3,849)
MP - Hero (T16,191)
MP2 - MP2 (T14,731)
CO - CO (T2,721)
BTN - BTN (T11,108)
SB - SB (T4,912)
BB - BB (T25,415)

Preflop: (T810, 9 players) Hero is MP with Ks Kd
3 folds, Hero raises to T639, 1 fold, CO calls T639, 2 folds, BB calls T339

Flop: 5h 7d 7h (T2,427, 3 players - Hero: T15,512, CO: T2,042, BB: T24,736)
BB checks, Hero bets T1,529, CO raises to T2,042 (all-in), BB calls T2,042, Hero calls T513

Turn: 4d (T8,553, 3 players, 1 all-in - Hero: T13,470, CO: T0, BB: T22,694)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: 7c (T8,553, 3 players, 1 all-in - Hero: T13,470, CO: T0, BB: T22,694)
BB bets T4,500, Hero raises to T13,470 (all-in)????????????, BB calls T8,970

Total Pot: T35,493
Hero shows Ks Kd (a full house, Sevens full of Kings)
BB shows Jc 7s (four of a kind, Sevens)
CO shows Th Kh (three of a kind, Sevens)

BB wins T26,940 from side pot
BB wins T8,553 from main pot

I feel like he can call with a worse full IMO.
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-20-2019 , 12:30 AM
This is pretty gross but I'm 100% calling river and almost never shoving.

How many pairs in BB range don't 3-bet preflop? I suppose there can be several but your traditional set mining pairs have a full-house that don't look too strong when you shove river and could find a fold. Your shove looks so strong and is almost never a bluff considering you have a player all-in whom a bluff probably can't beat. He doesn't put another penny into the pot if he has a missed draw so he's not bluffing here. I can't imagine 77755 and 77744 going for value or calling off here so I think it comes down to pairs and how many are not 3-betting preflop?
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-20-2019 , 12:41 AM
Need to bet less on the flop.
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-20-2019 , 05:01 PM
Bet less flop and call river against anyone but a complete monkey, we're never ever bluff raising the river so he has to be outrageously terrible to b/c worse than KK, and also he has to c-c river with the stuff you hope he calls your shove with (leading 88 makes pretty much 0 sens for him).
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-21-2019 , 12:04 AM
We're never bluffing because nobody folds boats. I think river jam is the play.
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-21-2019 , 12:27 AM
Maybe it's the play because it's a 7$ tourney and we suspect everyone to be a complete monkey, I'm not saying shove is always terrible but V has to be pretty bad. But ok yeah he's probably not that good because imo he has to check 100% of his range on the river. He can't be bluffing with CO protecting the pot, leading air or 88 is pretty ******ed so the only thing he should lead is 7x but maybe he leads only 7x assuming everyone is a complete monkey and will hero call river and shove any boat because he's probably a complete monkey.
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote
02-21-2019 , 02:46 AM
BB can have like all the 7's we don't have very many 7's but I would still just cry call river. This is a spot where we can play exploitive vs fish but not need to balance.
Any chance I don't go broke here? Quote

      
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