Hello 2+2, I have a little question. Im on a big downsing right now and I would like to know what %of it is variance and what % bad play.

I am playing 80% sits 45p/180p regular speed and 20% Mtts all $1 and 1.10. Downswins right now is -110

I use HM2. Is there any option to see that? Like the All in EV for cash or whatever is the right thing to study this on tourneys?

Any reading here in 2+2 to seek for leaks?. I grew my BR from 13 to 180 at .25 sits. Then started this level on december, grew it to 490 and now this big downsing. I had another 100 downswing on january. I generaly feel good about my play but I can't make de "500" jump.

I'm kind of hovering around the same right now with not being able to break the barrier of building a solid bankroll. I'd say just kept posting on here, check for leaks in your game with HM2, and drop down it stakes to minimize the losses. That's about all you can do if you don't have a big purse of money to keep playing with.

Is there any guide to search for leaks?

Last 3 months I was able to win very fine at sngs 45p regulars, with ROI of 20/30. Like 10 days from now I can't get to the FT, and when I do I end up 9,8,7,6. I don't know what happens.

Today I lost a 150bb pot in big 1.10 with AA against 53o with a runner runner straight. I can't win even with AA.

When I get down to 300 I will be back to the .25 sngs, until I feel better

If you run a report on HM 2 you can see your win rate in BB/100 and EV BB/100 - if they are positive it doesn't necessarily mean everything's ok but it's a good sign

Ok, when I finish this session I will, if I do it now my computer dies Will post it

I put "this year" filter and..

BB/100: 6.86
EV bb/100: 6.48 (all in)
EV BB/100: 3.24 (Big bets)

TOT HANDS: 107.594

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Date range: 7/2017 (since I started to play seriously)

BB/100: 8.23
EV bb/100: 7.81 (all in)
EV BB/100: 3.90 (Big bets)

TOT HANDS: 358.123
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What you think about this? Any lacking information?

I don't really understand the big bets stat - but basically your win rate looks Ok if not spectacular
It hasn't changed much since last year so you can be reassured that you're probably not playing any worse ( although the player pool gradually gets a little better) You aren't getting unlucky in races but you may have been running badly in terms of the match ups ( running AQ into Ak etc) or just losing flips at the more important stages of tournaments.

You might want to filter by stack size also - to see whether your win rates are different sizes - sometimes a good win rate when deeper can mask a ( more important) weakness when shorter stacked .

But overall you should feel reassured - just keep on trying to improve and the results will come.

You're running right around ev but that stat only tells you so much about your game. You're much better off spending some time digging into other stats to examine different aspects of your game.

For example:

1) Blind play - Are you defending your BB too often or not often enough? Are you too loose in the SB? Are you too passive in the SB?

2) Preflop positional aggression - Are you playing tight in early position and opening up in later position? Are you 3-betting often enough?

3) Shortstack play - How are you with your push/fold ranges? Are you taking advantage of spots to 3b-shove with 15-20bb? Are you tightening up too much when you get short?

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1) BB fold to steal: 68. Tot resteal: 12%. BB fold vs SB teal: 60. I don't know how to analize sb activity. SB BB/100 is -18.7. 3bet At SB is 6.26

2) Pre flop opening ranges: EP 10. MP 11. CO 12. BTN 14. SB 14. BB 7.
VPIP 16, PFR 11, 3BET 5.2

3) I don't know how to analize that. I used to bleed out when short, then I started to push more and went too far with both pushes and 3bet pushes. Now I am trying to reach some medium ideal point.

As a general suggestion, don't just look at stats. Do an actual review of hand histories to examine situations.

So you are defending the BB 32% of the time but are you defending in the right situations? For example, you should be defending more often against minraise than 3x raises.

Your 3b stat in the SB is too low. One of the best changes I made to my game was adopting a 3b/fold approach in the SB. Calling a raise in the SB is rarely the right play so your stats should be tight but super aggressive there.

Too nitty overall. EP stats are fine but you should start opening up way more in later positions. Playing 10/10 from EP is good but in CO/BTN you should be running much more laggy. Also try to close that gap between VP and PFR.

Run a filter by stack size (say 10-20bb) and then review your stats and individual hands. Run them through a program like ICMizer or just compare to a push/fold chart or app to seeing you're missing spots.

Also look at how you play during the different phases of the tourneys. During low blinds your stats should be pretty tight but you should see your stats become laggier as the tourney progresses.

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