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AKs BB defend vs UTG 20b push AKs BB defend vs UTG 20b push

01-15-2021 , 05:02 PM
So title says most of it,
Villan that played 0 hands on ft open pushes 20 blinds UTG. He's pretty much a nit I know. I'm sitting with AKs in BB, SB busted hand before. The field is definitely weaker than I am. I'm 95% sure it's a flip. there is like 5% chance he's open pushing AQ there. So I decided to fold. To beat them on later streaks, all of them are defending really tight. Any thoughts would be appreciated.


https://ibb.co/NW1RXqD

Last edited by Bcme; 01-15-2021 at 05:09 PM.
AKs BB defend vs UTG 20b push Quote
01-15-2021 , 06:10 PM
If my math is right, you need to win 43 pct to break even, and you're 45 percent against pairs. And it's probably more likely he's doing it with KK-AA or than with AQ or any hand you're against, so I'd say that makes it a very close to break-even play.

Given that you want to have an edge, and given that you're at the FT with significant pay jumps for each spot, and given that two of the other stacks are pretty short .... I think your fold is OK.

If you're sure he's really tight, that is.
AKs BB defend vs UTG 20b push Quote

      
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