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AA facing turn raise AA facing turn raise

11-27-2017 , 10:28 AM
3.30$ tournament, running 2 hours.
Blinds are 80/160 with 16 Ante. no reads on villian.

SB (12578).
BB (9322).
Hero (UTG) (7029).
UTG+1 (4937).
UTG+2 (3862).
MP (10039).
HJ (19690).
CO (13155).
BTN (7478).

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to 400, 2 folds, MP calls 400, 4 folds, BB calls 240

Flop: (1424) 4 T T (3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, MP checks.

Turn: (1424) 7 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 712, MP folds, BB raises to 2175,
Hero?

basically he is representing a T here, but there are draws that can play like that, especially after flop been passed with checks all around. If we call here, what is the plan otr?
AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 01:13 PM
If you think he has draws in his range, I'm inclined to shove it in here. The problem is his range is pretty wide and it includes a boatload of draws, so if you call you're likely going to face a big river bet and hate more than half the deck.

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AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 04:20 PM
actually I shoved becouse of the reason you mentioned, and he called an turnd up QTs. just wondering if my line was ok.
AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 04:24 PM
You having the Ablocker would make me more inclined to fold and I think they are just calling with the club draw. Tendencies with a paired board like this is that people don't bluff a lot.
AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 07:10 PM
Call turn, decide river.
AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 09:05 PM
Yeah the problem obviously is the assumption that he could have draws in his range on the turn. I'm inclined to agree with onehand that, absent a read, low stakes players aren't typically playing a draw that way.
AA facing turn raise Quote
11-27-2017 , 09:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth_Maul
Yeah the problem obviously is the assumption that he could have draws in his range on the turn. I'm inclined to agree with onehand that, absent a read, low stakes players aren't typically playing a draw that way.
We only need to be ahead 25% of the time to make a call on the turn ok. I think that is reasonable, given that everyone checked the flop, the possibility that Tx might lead the turn since so many draws are opened up, the possibility that he could perceive our delayed c-bet as a stab since everyone showed weakness, and the fact that he can sometimes have some draws or two pair that decide to play this way. I agree he will have a ten here a lot of the time, but I think low stakes players can still show up with semibluffs and some weird hands in this spot enough to make a call on the turn.
AA facing turn raise Quote

      
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