Whats our optimal line here? 3bet GII pre or flat? Im guessing we are never folding to the Late position 3bet jam?
Stats at the time (VPIP/PFR/Aggression Factor/3B)
Opener [Lojack] 29/23/3/12 over 55 hands (seemed relatively active)
Me [Hijack] 21/15/2/7
Squeezer [BB] 23/12/2/6.7 over 35 hands, 3bet 1/15.
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T T :: ::
MP1 folds, MP2 raises to 16,000, Hero calls 16,000, 3 folds, BB raises to 190,272 and is all-in, MP2 folds, Hero calls 174,272
Flop: (407,544) 5 A 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in) Turn: (407,544) 5 (2 players, 1 is all-in) River: (407,544) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: 407,544 pot
Final Board: 5 A 3 5 4
BB showed Q A :: :: and won 407,544 (216,272 net)
Hero showed T T :: :: and lost (-191,272 net)
It's a tricky spot. I think 3b / c is prob best line - once we flat it's actually not an easy call I'm sure it's +cEV but pretty tight $EV - depends on V's squeezing range here. Would be a good one to put into ICMizer.
I think this is a fairly clear call pre. I'd 3b call in later positions, but i don't think you get him to shove many worse pairs when you 3 bet him this early in the order. Could also be a 3 bet if you and the villain have a psychotic aggressive dynamic.
Call advantages include inducing squeezes, playing IP postflop, and keeping the pot smaller and still having maneuverability with 23-27 BBs if you see an ugly runout and put in one or zero bets before folding.
It’s all pretty even stacks, so it’s not like there’s heavy icm tax. I like call pre, but probably something like 70/30 where 30% i 3bet (5x ish). As played have to call either blind. If mp2 comes back over the top, you probably have to fold
Awkward stack sizes but I don't think shoving pre is ever bad. You might lose value but taking down a decent pot without showdown isn't a bad outcome here and calling can lead to some difficult situations.
As played I would make the call. I think you'll see AK and even lower pairs a lot from the BB here.