Quote:
Originally Posted by LiveMTTLover
either double up to 17 bigs on this hand or wait and double up to 12 bigs and perhaps make a more guaranteed extra $400 just waiting a orbit or getting a better hand and doubling through it.
I think waiting is the better option at this stage. 5 BB increase isn't going to make a world of difference in you winning this tournament.
You are making quite a few assumptions. You are assuming you’ll get a better hand in the next orbit. You are assuming that the pay jump will happen in the next orbit. You are assuming that you will actually double up if you get a better hand. Most importantly you are assuming that if you double up here, you’ll just sit on your 17bb stack. You’ll likely have opportunities to increase that stack, and a 17bb stack is better for such opportunities than a 12 bb stack.
Maybe if your only goal is to survive to get the pay jump, you fold. If your goal is to increase your stack and try to win the tourney, it’s a shove IMO.