4.40Z counterfeit two pair facing shove - MTT Poker Strategy

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4.40Z counterfeit two pair facing shove

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02-20-2018 , 11:58 PM

UntimelyBluff

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2017 Posts: 299

I've run into a couple of spots like this before and with no reads is this as obvious of a fold as it looks?

Poker Stars, $4 Buy-in (30/60 blinds, 7 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37931613

Hero (BTN): 7,229 (120.5 bb)
SB: 2,806 (46.8 bb)
BB: 5,668 (94.5 bb)
UTG: 1,332 (22.2 bb)
MP: 3,142 (52.4 bb)
CO: 4,497 (75 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9

3 folds, Hero raises to 144, SB folds, BB calls 84

Flop: (360) 8

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 180, BB raises to 420, Hero raises to 1,060, BB calls 640

Turn: (2,480) A

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 1,257, BB calls 1,257

River: (4,994) A

(2 players)
BB bets 3,200 and is all-in, Hero folds

Spoiler:

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Last edited by UntimelyBluff; 02-21-2018 at 12:07 AM.

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02-21-2018 , 10:38 AM

Darth_Maul

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 4,435

Let's see, you lose to:

1) Sets, two of which you block

2) Ax - he might x/r the flop with the NFD but I don't see him doing that with other Ax hands

3) TT-KK - the best of these likely 3b pre and I suppose he might x/r the flop, but would he barrel when the A hits your range?

You beat:

1) All busted spade and straight draws. If I'm villain, that's a beautiful flop to x/r my entire defending range.

2) Small pairs

Given the above I think I make the call.

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