$20 SCOOP. Turn decision with overpair - MTT Poker Strategy

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$20 SCOOP. Turn decision with overpair

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05-14-2018 , 10:19 AM

Ab5olution

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 30

Villain has solid tight stats.
This is the range I put villain on:

Against that range, I have 38% equity. What should I do on the turn?

Poker Stars, $20 Buy-in (2,000/4,000 blinds, 500 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: 128,323 (32.1 bb)
SB: 82,096 (20.5 bb)
BB: 254,974 (63.7 bb)
UTG+1: 59,870 (15 bb)
UTG+2: 62,990 (15.7 bb)
MP1: 181,807 (45.5 bb)
MP2: 110,102 (27.5 bb)
Hero (MP3): 225,824 (56.5 bb)
CO: 123,553 (30.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q

4 folds, Hero raises to 9,040, 3 folds, BB calls 5,040

Flop: (24,580) 4

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 11,061, BB raises to 30,000, Hero calls 18,939

Turn: (84,580) 8

(2 players)
BB bets 56,669, Hero folds

Spoiler:

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05-14-2018 , 10:52 AM

Darth_Maul

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 4,435

Such an ugly spot, that flop nails his defense range perfectly. But if you expect to fold to a turn bet, and you expect him to bet after the flop x/r, why even call the x/r?

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05-15-2018 , 02:08 AM

killer_kill

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 28,610

Call turn he can have As5x and other random single spades and 66-88. We also block KQss and other flushes he can have.

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05-16-2018 , 05:58 AM

Turningham

adept

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 828

Quote:

Originally Posted by killer_kill

Call turn he can have As5x and other random single spades and 66-88. We also block KQss and other flushes he can have.

This. We can consider folding without a spade, but with I think we just have to close our eyes and call

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