***It's 6max not FR btw - doesn't make much difference I suppose***
Not sure about my flop or turn line here. Expecting a lot of folds on the flop. Turn is a bad card in theory for me but it's a scare card and I have outs when called. Any ideas??
The Ace hits his range super hard, and all of his floats on the flop are either:
1. Ace High
2. Over pairs
3. TPTK
Your raising range on the flop is never improved by this Ace, its 100% his card. Overbetting 200% pot on the turn is absurd. You are only repping two pairs and sets, and there is no reason why these strong hands would overbet 200% on this turn.
You are overbetting into a strong range without a cohesive story. A lot of decent players can figure this as a semi-bluff overplaying; A good portion of his range will call here.
Instead, just bet 15-19BB OTT. Or just check call a small bet and c/f a PSB.