180man - 12 players left, 6th in chips - MTT Poker Strategy

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180man - 12 players left, 6th in chips

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06-27-2019 , 04:40 AM

ThePokerBot

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,793

No specific reads on villain

PokerStars - 800/1600 Ante 150 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 20,147 (VPIP: 23.68, PFR: 16.28, 3Bet Preflop: 10.48, Hands: 605)
BTN: 16,255 (VPIP: 15.17, PFR: 15.32, 3Bet Preflop: 8.51, Hands: 146)
Hero (SB): 22,517
BB: 14,389 (VPIP: 17.26, PFR: 14.96, 3Bet Preflop: 8.66, Hands: 1,950)
UTG: 11,867 (VPIP: 27.36, PFR: 7.37, 3Bet Preflop: 11.76, Hands: 106)
MP: 18,925 (VPIP: 11.39, PFR: 6.85, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 79)

6 players post ante of 150, Hero posts SB 800, BB posts BB 1,600

Pre Flop: (pot: 3,300) Hero has 7

fold, fold, CO raises to 19,997 and is all-in, fold, [color=red]Hero ???

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06-27-2019 , 07:45 AM

xVeritas

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 137

47.5% Equity vs a 16% shoving range
although he might shove really wide from CO

Nash says it's a good call vs 13bb CO shove when at the sb

if you put him on a wide range, call
if you think he might be tight in this spot, fold

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06-27-2019 , 07:51 AM

Pouled

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2018 Posts: 476

600 hands and no reads? Wtf

On topic.
My decision here is both call and fold. If you are properly bankrolled this is a clear call. You can't win this SnG folding this type of spots.
If you fold, probably you go deeper but with less chances to make top 3. You will need luck and variance

Call and win the flip will give more winnings in the long run

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06-29-2019 , 06:49 AM

ThePokerBot

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,793

I had HUD stats on him of course but no manual reads/notes about his shoving/opening habits at the endgame

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06-29-2019 , 08:58 AM

ExpectedV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 14,308

Can’t imagine folding here unless villain is a total nit

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06-29-2019 , 09:38 AM

Hot*ShoT

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2019 Posts: 336

Either you call here or will get taken care of properly, can guarantee that

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06-29-2019 , 11:27 AM

DawajHAJS!!!

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 55

vs his pushing range we are ahead so it's easy call

What he is shoving from CO for 13bb?I would say he is pushing about 30% hands so I would call him with 44+,A7s+,A9o+,KJs,KQ but on the FT I would consider fold 77.

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06-30-2019 , 05:25 AM

ThePokerBot

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,793

Its hard to range the villain, which is why i posted... in normal chip-eve mode i'm calling this all day long, at the final table i'm probably folding but at the endgame, two tables left it gets tricky to range players effectively

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06-30-2019 , 06:06 AM

killer_kill

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 28,610

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThePokerBot

Can prob call 66+ ATs+ and some combos of KQs.

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06-30-2019 , 06:18 AM

#10

killer_kill

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 28,610

Snapshove says villain should be shoving a little over 30% which we can tighten a little so can take a few hands out from the bottom of his range.

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