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 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn  10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn

08-19-2018 , 11:54 PM
Merge - 200/400 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+2: 79.87 BB (VPIP: 37.34, PFR: 21.09, 3Bet Preflop: 10.20, Hands: 160)
CO: 55.79 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 9.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
BTN: 72.62 BB (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 13.16, 3Bet Preflop: 11.76, Hands: 38)
SB: 45.21 BB (VPIP: 34.21, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)
BB: 33.06 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
UTG: 58.44 BB (VPIP: 28.26, PFR: 13.04, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 47)
Hero (UTG+1): 101.59 BB
MP: 33.65 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 105)
MP+1: 72.88 BB (VPIP: 22.34, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 95)

9 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has 9 9

fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) 2 5 8
Hero bets 4.93 BB, CO calls 4.93 BB

Turn: (17.26 BB, 2 players) 3
Hero checks, CO bets 48.26 BB and is all-in, fold

CO wins 17.26 BB

Not really sure on my bet sizing on flop but with plenty of draws in villains calling range made on larger size to pay to draw. Tend to see this quite a bit in the small stakes figured I was either ahead slightly or drawing dead so chose to fold just want to check my line and see if there was anything there. Villain had been doing this but hadn't seen a showdown.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-20-2018 , 03:02 AM
Yes - I think we'd need a strong read to call this one down
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-20-2018 , 02:12 PM
Definitely think a fold here is fine. Not sure what type of player this is, but he could show up with a nice variety of hands - straights and two pairs feel most likely. Hard to envision him playing a flopped set or turned flush in this manner so I feel like he's weighted toward thinner value when the 3 of hearts rolls off. These spots will leave you with your head shaking but good fold.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-20-2018 , 02:20 PM
Easy fold. Feels most like a flush hit to me... people love to jam when they make a flush at low stakes.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-20-2018 , 03:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dead set
Easy fold. Feels most like a flush hit to me... people love to jam when they make a flush at low stakes.
Really? I had a different impression. Feels like a hand weaker than a flush.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-21-2018 , 11:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by underdeveloped
Really? I had a different impression. Feels like a hand weaker than a flush.
Ah and a napkin.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-21-2018 , 11:56 PM
Yeah with so many possible hands villian could have this should be an easy fold, hard to imagine you being way ahead here.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-22-2018 , 12:13 AM
It was so easy in 2009 when if they were European you called. amirite?
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote
08-22-2018 , 10:03 AM
I'm a bit surprised at most of the responses here. Why would villain shove the turn for almost 3x pot with a made flush, or even a set? People do that all the time on the river because they know it's a polarizing bet and can look bluffy, but not in the turn.

This looks like a big single heart in my opinion. I think you'll see hands like AhQx/AhJx/KhQx here quite often.
 10k GTD overpair facing 2.8x pot shove on turn Quote

      
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