Hi all,
Recently I've been back to the MTT grind and I could use some help ;-)
In this case preflop was ok I guess. A relative short stack (20 bb, no real reads, just 30 hands on this table) calls and sees a flop. There's only one overcard to my 88 so I should be ok most of the time against his range. That's why I CBet this flop. I can choose between these lines on the turn:
- Check/fold: That play felt too exploitable: Villain could just bet every turn with all his missed hands as well and show a nice profit.
- Check/call: I thought in this case he can go to showdown too easily with his ace high (AT/AQ) and lower pairs. In that case I lose value against worse hands and give them free cards too.
- Bet/fold: I think this is out of the question because of massive pot odds after my own bet. Villain has a pot sized bet left.
- Bet/call: So I guess I just decided I cannot fold my 88 postflop with just one overcard against a 20 bb stack, and also wanted to get more money in the pot so I bet/called.
But there's also a case for reasoning his turn bet range (if I do check) consists of only top pair (because he probably doesn't have an overpair since he called preflop) or a flopped set. But that way I probably give him too much credit.
Maybe this hand is obvious, but thanks for any advice!
Poker Stars, $4 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 18 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
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#37850149
BTN: 6,949 (34.7 bb)
SB: 3,103 (15.5 bb)
BB: 6,370 (31.9 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): 18,333 (91.7 bb)
UTG+2: 6,414 (32.1 bb)
MP1: 4,530 (22.7 bb)
MP2: 4,360 (21.8 bb)
MP3: 5,333 (26.7 bb)
CO: 21,700 (108.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 8
8
Hero raises to 500, 2 folds, MP2 calls 500,
5 folds
Flop: (1,462) 4
J
2
(2 players)
Hero bets 804, MP2 calls 804
Turn: (3,070) 4
(2 players)
Hero bets 1,689,
MP2 raises to 3,038 and is all-in, Hero calls 1,349
River: (9,146) T
(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Results: 9,146 pot
Final Board: 4
J
2
4
T
Hero showed 8
8
and lost (-4,360 net)
MP2 showed Q
J
and won 9,146 (4,786 net)