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09-16-2017 , 01:11 PM
#1
blutaky
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journeyman
Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 303
$1 MTT 250/500 blinds, 60 ante

UTG+1: 12,975 (26 bb)
UTG+2: 2,373 (4.7 bb) 43/14 over 14 hands
MP1: 2,400 (4.8 bb)
MP2: 25,524 (51 bb)
MP3: 7,360 (14.7 bb)
CO: 8,850 (17.7 bb) 11/3 over 38 hands
Hero (BTN): 17,102 (34.2 bb)
SB: 2,890 (5.8 bb)
BB: 17,044 (34.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with ??
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 2,313 and is all-in, 3 folds, CO raises to 8,790 and is all-in, Hero??

Pretty much a shove/fold spot (maybe could exploitatively flat with AA and induce SB and BB to enter the pot). We are probably ahead of UTG+2 but CO is reshoving 17bb and looks nitty over a small sample size.

How wide should we be shoving?
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09-16-2017 , 02:10 PM
#2
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Captain-Hindsight
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adept
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Something like 99+ AQo+


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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09-16-2017 , 08:42 PM
#3
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wowsooooted
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Pooh-Bah
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^^

agree
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09-16-2017 , 11:13 PM
#4
blutaky
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journeyman
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What kind of range would you give CO (11/3 over 38 hands) here and how much would you factor the small sample size into your reads?
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09-17-2017 , 12:35 AM
#5
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wowsooooted
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Pooh-Bah
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I think CO looks smthng like KQ+, 66+ roughly
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09-17-2017 , 04:01 AM
#6
blutaky
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journeyman
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That's kinda wide. I personally would be shoving AJ+, KQs, 88+ here. Anyway he had AK, I tank jammed my AQ and lost
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09-17-2017 , 04:53 AM
#7
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wowsooooted
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Pooh-Bah
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ul, AQ is pretty std

i wouldn't say with 100% certainty he is folding a hand like KQ, so if we put both KQ and AJ in his range thats x2 unpaired hands we ahead of and only x1 we are behind to
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09-17-2017 , 08:34 PM
#8
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Captain-Hindsight
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adept
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AQo is definitely borderline

try some ranges on ICMizer and see what you get
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09-17-2017 , 08:35 PM
#9
ThePokerBot
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old hand
Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,793
I don't think you can say with a good amount of certainty that this villain is re-shoving with KQo and maybe only even KQs give his very low PRF, albeit a small sample size

However i do think that using populations reads recs can be re-shove with KQo, KQs and even KJs, KTs, so overall i would be happy shoving AQo
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