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Is this variance?? Is this variance??

03-06-2010 , 07:35 PM
Im a solid player tight aggro and these are all mtt on poker stars within the last 48 hours. i know its not detailed but i need some clarification. played in about ten tourneys

flopped full house in the big a 4 all in lose to a higher full house on the turn pocket 55
ak beat by kq
99 beat by a 3 off flopped a full house loss on river 3
aj vs 99 aa9 on flop
jj loss to q9 all in pre
qq loss to aj river ace
kq loss to k7
aq loss to q 10
ak loss to aj
aa loss to 56
qq vs qq vs kk same hand lol
kk loss to a 10 off
k10 flopped broadway runner runner flush against 8 6
aa loss to 910 all in pre
kk loss to 55 all in pre

Last edited by vega-ace; 03-06-2010 at 07:36 PM. Reason: missed a stat
03-06-2010 , 07:51 PM
ur just running bad. it happens to everyone... the only way to get through a bad stretch is to play more. i went through a horrid 45k hand stretch where my expected value was something like 485k chips and actual results were -350K chips in all in situations... tracked with tourney luck.

HOWEVER... you never know when you'll have 1 tourney when everything will go right. during that horrid stretch i had back to back days where 3 tourneys went good i made $3,800. so u never know.

to give u an example of the sick sht that was happening... i flopped QQQ on xQx flop... turn was an Ace... all money went it.... villain showed AQ vs my QQ.... final board was xQxAA.... for a 40k pot to knock me out of tourney. villain is something like .30% to win on flop and 4% to win after the turn.

just play more and know that no matter how bad it gets... it will turn around.
03-06-2010 , 07:52 PM
All of these hands are what broke the tourneys for me. i guess my question is am i making bad plays which i know you would need a bit more info or is it just a losing streak but i think you might have answered that. im a bit of a noob and ive been studying theses forums for a while now so pardon the elementary post. just feels a bit rediculous getting beat up so badly lol
03-06-2010 , 07:57 PM
thnx for the response corbindallas. kinda what i needed to hear. gimmmmme da cashhhhh! lmao
03-06-2010 , 07:59 PM
Winning is about polarizing the range of the villains, bet sizes, reads, knowing when to ship, knowing when to fold, and a lot of luck.

I think you are doing fine, with what you presented us.
03-06-2010 , 08:01 PM
if you're referring to beats, brags and variance - no, this isn't it.
03-06-2010 , 08:32 PM
welcome to my world.. stop crying
03-06-2010 , 08:37 PM
Yes, it's variance. I've been having oddball sh*t luck these past few days, too, seeing more runner-runner miracles knock me out in the last 72 hours than I normally see in a month.

I'd post it in the BBV forum, but I get more sympathy when I just tell my dog.
03-06-2010 , 09:34 PM
BBV thread and I imagine most of us see worse every day
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