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Unsure about betsizing with AA

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07-29-2014 , 05:01 PM

Ubertin

newbie

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 23

Hello folks!

MTT is a 1,35 KO. villian your typical 35/10/0

I'm not sure i like my betsizing on turn.
I reckon it would be better to bet like 700 and expect a villian who is not stacksize-aware to call with small pairs. So a Q and pairs call my river allin then , because price is too good. On the other hand he might fold to my turnshove his pair, with the exception of a Q.

Or even checking the turn, since no real draw is out there and maybe catch a bluff.

Poker Stars, $1.25 Buy-in (50/100 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #29248111

BTN: 2,665 (26.7 bb)
SB: 2,950 (29.5 bb)
BB: 3,210 (32.1 bb)
UTG+1: 2,195 (22 bb)
UTG+2: 4,044 (40.4 bb)
MP1: 6,255 (62.6 bb)
MP2: 2,880 (28.8 bb)
Hero (MP3): 3,000 (30 bb)
CO: 4,961 (49.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A

2 folds, MP1 calls 100, MP2 folds, Hero raises to 400, 3 folds, BB calls 300, MP1 calls 300

Flop: (1,250) 6

(3 players)
BB checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets 500, BB folds, MP1 calls 500

Turn: (2,250) 5

(2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets 2,100 and is all-in, MP1 folds

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

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07-29-2014 , 05:03 PM

DjHitzz

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 2,215

Betting more on the flop will make shoving the turn easier.

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07-29-2014 , 07:31 PM

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

400 flop 725ish turn allin river

or check flop

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07-29-2014 , 08:00 PM

bumpnrun

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 2,893

Let's make it 3/3

Check turn. We are safe from getting 2 paired by Qx so let him do his float-jam thing, or "put is on AK" and think his pair is good

Disclaimer. Maybe better in 10-40 games, I don't play this low

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07-29-2014 , 08:24 PM

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

but hes never folding a queen so you only get his pp's to not fold (obv qx isnt folding) and i dont think he puts in a bet often enough to make up for the value you lose from not getting another street vs Qx. pps are gonna check a bunch of rivers too and prob not look to hero too light

also small sizings look weak and people are gonna call/call/call or call/call/fold more often than they will call/call allin on turn

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07-29-2014 , 09:33 PM

bumpnrun

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 2,893

I disregarded a queen as assume we will always value from that when we bomb river, which is still only a PSB. So its his floats/pockets we need to get value from. I feel checking turn bombing river looks weaker than smallish flop turn and river bets that get us allin

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07-29-2014 , 09:55 PM

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

well his "floats" on this board are what exactly? pp's are less likely to call off rivers when nearly always it'll be another overcard to them since he's most likely 3b bigger ones pre. only benefit to checking turn is that he can make some other random pair on river and maybe call (doubt it if you jam).

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07-29-2014 , 11:29 PM

bumpnrun

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 2,893

# trash? idk people call anything these days when everyone knows about the c bet

Your point about villain going ccf sometimes is good but you're ignoring the value of feigning weakness for river hero calls and/or inducing bluffs

Tbh both options look fine but it wouldn't take much of an aggro or stubborn read for me it chose the bet-checkback line

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07-30-2014 , 08:57 AM

gamboneee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 9,163

thats why i think theres some merit to checking flop, esp since itll be fairly easy to gii on 2 streets, board is super dry, and people freak out in x-ed through flops so often. i think you'll be getting bet into fairly often on turn and can jam over river bets or bet whatever amount when checked to

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