I tried that out yesterday and it worked pretty well, mincashed 3 out of 4 tournaments, including one deep-ish run where I folded my 10bb stack to the final two tables.
For context, though the original question is interesting on its own, I'm playing a fake money tournament series where each cash gets a certain number of points, and the top 10 overall points at the end of two weeks get some merch or whatever. Mostly just doing it for fun as a personal challenge.
After looking at the point calculation formula a bit, it seems that mincashes are disproportionately rewarded compared to deep runs. Obviously deep runs get way more points, but it's an extremely flat ladder compared to the actual payout structures. The numbers change a bit depending on the size of the player pool and buyin cost, but typically a first place finish will only net less than 5% of the total points rewarded, about 4.5x more than a mincash. There's pretty much every variety of format along the way, freezes, rebuys, PKOs, you name it, but points rewarded ONLY depends on your finish position wrt the size of the player pool, and you must cash (top 15%) to receive any points. The graph looks roughly
like this, where X is the % of players beaten.
So yesterday I basically pretended that I had ICM pressure from the very start of the tournament, playing hella slowly, only picking +pointEV spots rather than chasing chipEV, and generally tightening my flipping range as you suggested (I felt a piece of my soul leave my body folding 9s in no-brainer shove spots twice yesterday). Idk if that's way too early to start doing that, but
this video suggests that switching to ICM solutions very early in a tourney gets you a lot of extra profit in the min-midcash range, so it feels valid here. Plus I'm an enormous fish, so playing less hands only gives me less opportunities to punt it off heh. The fact that it's a fake-money tournament also means a lot more maniacs are showing up, so tightening up also helps avoid marginal spots with them.
Wondering if it's worth going for max latereg to start closer to the bubble, or max earlyreg to have more opportunities to pick up premiums and win some medium pots to build up a foldable stack?
Last edited by FOLDEM0RT; 08-28-2023 at 02:57 PM.