Quote:
Originally Posted by PhatPots
I think the turn bet needs to be larger because there is a chance that some rivers will kill your action and the villain is not going to be folding a set to any turn bet. The villain might fold a crappy 2 pair to a large bet, but I think it's much more likely that you get called. If the river is another A, a 7, a 5, or a T, the player might be able to find a fold with 2 pair. They might also get away from a set.
I think the play is either bet large on the turn or check with the intention to crai (I would do this if I had a suspicion that the villain is aggressive or if my table imagine is that I can be pushed around).
As the hand played, you need to bet the river. You are giving up too much value. I would probably bet 20 - 25K.
I ripped for over pot on the river. I think it’s ok just a bit unlucky- sizing on turn needs to be bigger no question.
Idk villian was youngish but I wouldn’t say aggro. He limped J-10hh utg on like 50-60bbs which I consider to be a massive leak/ east hand to open for a min or 2.2x raise. He had 3bet me in sb Vs button spot where I opened 7-3o from button (lol I know this is really bad- I just felt spot was good bc sb and bb were playing fit/ fold). Def not a great or even ok open but sometimes I think it’s ok to open as a pure steal.
I consider a X raise on turn but I felt my line was at a spot where I need to bet turn + I felt
He checks back turn a lot bc most live players are fairly nittish. My only problem with hand on my end also- I took like 10 seconds on the turn to think. I think I should have bet more on turn and set up a say 60-90% pot bet that was an all in on river. Prolly 50-70% would be ideal.
My math was bad. I ended up jamming like 80k into 68k pot on river (not sure exact numbers). I feel villian is almost never calling with worse unless a set/ 2 pair/ maybe AK if they feel super underrepped/ etc