I probably 3-bet a little smaller but bigger than Rick. 8-9BB, I think. You do still want to set a price that's going to get folds, although it's going to be tough to get folds in a PKO. Hell, given the PKO nature and how people will gamble, jamming probably isn't the worst decision. (There are probably better, but I think "fold" and "raise small" are the worst.)
Quote:
Originally Posted by LifeNitFL
I feel like this kind of overbet is often some kind of draw but even if so, we're not that far ahead equity wise. We don't even have a pair so the draws will have some additional outs against us. There are two more problems: it's a PKO, so people are less likely to make this kind of play as a bluff. Second, we block the nut flush draw, making FDs much less likely, especially in a 3 bet pot. Also, every once in a while it is just two pair or a set getting protective on a draw heavy board. So easy fold IMO.
Re: the bolded, villain covers us, so I think that makes them more likely to shove a draw here so they get the bounty if they get there. But I think the rest is pretty accurate. Villain can have a draw a lot of the time, but the As works against us here in that regard, and it's certainly possible villain just actually hit this flop. You do have three outs to the nuts and maybe your pair outs are good too, though!