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Queens on nasty board Queens on nasty board

03-09-2017 , 07:19 AM
    Poker Stars, $10 Buy-in (1,250/2,500 blinds, 380 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: 71,596 (28.6 bb)
    BB: 95,531 (38.2 bb)
    UTG+1: 10,497 (4.2 bb)
    UTG+2: 21,423 (8.6 bb)
    Hero (MP1): 88,146 (35.3 bb)
    MP2: 36,902 (14.8 bb)
    MP3: 235,560 (94.2 bb)
    CO: 71,722 (28.7 bb)
    BTN: 89,904 (36 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q Q
    2 folds, Hero raises to 5,625, 4 folds, SB calls 4,375, BB calls 3,125

    Flop: (20,295) 7 3 8 (3 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 7,103, SB calls 7,103, BB folds

    Turn: (34,501) 7 (2 players)
    SB bets 12,075, Hero calls 12,075

    River: (58,651) J (2 players)
    SB bets 46,413 and is all-in, Hero ?


    V is a good-ish (30k~? profit) reg, this is bounty builder 11 afair so there's also KO factor.
    Do you think he could ever have a pure bluff here given that I have more reasons to call him down because of bounty?
    IMO it's pretty easy fold but always better to ask
    Queens on nasty board Quote
    03-09-2017 , 09:15 AM
    Yeah I agree - I don't see what hands you beat that would call a flop bet and then continue betting. Unless v has ice in his vains or is a complete moron.
    Queens on nasty board Quote
    03-09-2017 , 09:51 AM
    He didn't 3b pre so he wants to see a flop, and that flop nails his range. Looks to me like a 7x - I don't think he'd lead the turn with a boat, so probably a hand like 97/76/75. Bets the turn because he doesn't know if you'll bet and doesn't want to give you a free river card in case you have a heart.

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    Queens on nasty board Quote
    03-09-2017 , 06:35 PM
    I suppose he might have something like Ah with no pair, or T9 that he's playing as a strong semi-bluff because he knows this misses your range completely.

    I'm actually struggling to put villain on a value-heavy range here. Wouldn't he x/r the flop with some of his value hands like 87 or sets? Does he really get to the turn with many 7x hands? I suppose he could have some if the other card is a heart but these sort of hands seems quite unlikely.

    This line looks so bluffy to me - I'd probably call this off.
    Queens on nasty board Quote
    03-10-2017 , 02:37 PM
    What hand would he be turning into a bluff here? I don't think he'd lead turn with a 4 flusher and you have no blockers to a straight. And this turn card improves his range not yours. He could be bluffing with A8x or something, but I don't think he'd turn a hand that potentially has some big equity and good SDV into a bluff by leading the turn. I think it's a fold.

    Edit: I also think V would take this line perhaps with a flush or a set. Checking back flop to the aggressor in MP seems logical and then leading turn to go to value town. Also the size of the turn bet looks like they want a call.

    Last edited by onehandatatime; 03-10-2017 at 02:51 PM.
    Queens on nasty board Quote
    03-10-2017 , 02:42 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by spand42
    I'm actually struggling to put villain on a value-heavy range here. Wouldn't he x/r the flop with some of his value hands like 87 or sets? Does he really get to the turn with many 7x hands? I suppose he could have some if the other card is a heart but these sort of hands seems quite unlikely.
    Given that he's calling in the BB with great odds, he could have A7/97/76/75...even something like T7s. 87 is there as well but don't think he'd lead the turn with it.


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