While at first glance this may sound more like a PGC thread, please hear me out first. I may have gotten myself into quite a pickle, and it's too late to back out, so... yeah. I have committed myself to the following prop bet, starting tomorrow:
-I have 120 consecutive days, of which I can play a maximum of 100
-I need to turn 500€ into 10k€ playing MTTs
-I need to also make at least 1000 buyins in the process, so no shot-taking will save me
-I need to stream 16 days+ of the challenge, which will probably mean 4-tabling sessions --> I have more like 84 days to do this plus the stream days. I also have no idea about this whole streaming technology so I'll probably just be tilted and lose INF on those 16 days. And those 84 days will include Christmas, NYE, my birthday etc, plus I think I'll miss another 10 or say because of off-bet live poker trips
(a couple of other clauses I will not bore you with, but which make it impossible for me to have any short cuts in any way, I will need to follow conservative BRM etc, live poker doesn't count. I can also play anything outside the bankroll if I want, so if you see me playing the SM or something then I'm doing it outside the challenge. I'm not intending to do much stuff off-challenge, but I gotta YOLO a couple of HS birds before I quit for old times' sake)
The monetary wagers I can't disclose (stupid Finnish legislation) but let's say that if I lose, two things will happen
1) I will go somewhat bankrupt
2) One of the terms of the bet is that I'll have to quit poker and related posting/blogging forever and get a 9-5 job, so if I fail this will be end of my 10-year poker career.
(I will be allowed to post/tweet about my book specifically, since it would be quite suicidal to not be allowed to do that)
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As for background, I've played poker for ~10 years, but I've shared my time 50-50 between writing and poker in the last 2 years or so. I've made less than 10k in this entire year playing poker, and over the last two months I've booked like 95% losing sessions making 30 deposits without a withdrawal. I'm feeling washed up as ****, I haven't studied in forever and when asked what the correct unexploitable 10BB BTN pushing range is I'm pretty sure I'd miss by 5-10%. I haven't really won anything remotely respectable at poker in about 2 years (although I haven't really devoted myself to it either). I'm 30, I can't physically take massive grinds anymore, and honestly don't have a whole lot going for myself poker-wise.
I'm not posting this to book any more action, I'm fully booked at 1:1. It's also way too late for me to back down, but out of curiosity I'd love to hear what people think my chances are. I think of myself as something like 20ABI, 40% ROI type reg but who the hell knows, I might be deluded. And obviously for this challenge I'll have to play like 1.5 ABI at first etc.
The reason why this isn't a PGC is because I committed myself to live blogging/streaming this for a Finnish poker website (in Finnish, sry) and you can't bite the hand that feeds you so this isn't something I can blog regularly about. But I can give quick updates about approach/results every now and then I guess if people want. Also MTTc has been super slow lately so perhaps an oldschool prop bet thread will spice things up a bit!
I personally think I'm something like 50% to do this but people seem to disagree...
It goes on and on, I'd post more if I wasn't too old to know how to embed tweets.
I guess my main motivation for creating this thread is to use this as what will possibly/likely be my last chance to actually post on these forums assuming I'll lose the bet and won't be allowed to post ever again. I always thought I'd do a well-type thing before I step out of the game, but the truth is I never achieved *that* much and don't feel entitled to have my own well I guess. But this seems like a good way to say my goodbyes and answer any questions people may have. I guess most new-school posters don't know me, but I was extremely prominent around 2009-2013 and I assume the spazzy Bass will ring a bell for some people. If not for anything else, then for the following quote:
"I'd rather be a losing LAG than a winning nit"
Oh boy were those THE days. I'm glad to say I no longer have that approach tho.
Anyway, I'll update this every 1-2 weeks or something, I'll be happy to answer any questions, and I'll be even happier to reminisce the old times once more before my career is (possibly) over. I'll be giving this challenge my best shot though. I've been a pretty prominent 2p2 poster for close to a decade now, and I feel incredibly privileged to have gotten to know/meet so many of you. I've met some people who I truly hope will end up as lifelong friends regardless of how this bet goes, and I have some pretty sick memories from the past decade that I'll never forget. So just in case I'll bust my roll tomorrow and won't be able to post ever again, I just thought I'd thank everyone already. You know who you are
Ok, wish me luck! I'm off to find out what the correct 10% BTN pushing range is
Last edited by Chuck Bass; 09-30-2017 at 04:13 PM.