Day 1A Amazon Orange 85 Seat 7
I figure after going 1/21 here in Vegas (and even the 1 being a mini-cash), I've saved up all my run good for the Main Event. Not even nervous or excited, just ready...
Regarding Timex's question about expectation, I'd expect my deep-stack MTT poker skills to be in the Top 10% of the field and for that to translate into 100-200% long-term ROI given the structure. So, yes, the ~100th best player (who is better than me) is likely to have 300%+ long-term ROI.
The problem is that no player can ever get anywhere close to their long-term expected ROI in their lifetime. You might get to play 50 times maximum and even a good player might cash only around 10 times. With an average field size of 8000 players only a few of your lifetime cashes will likely be in the Top 100 and you have a significantly less than average chance of ever making the Final Table.
Nevertheless, I'm confident that I'm binking it this year