Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
I probably just fold pre, I hate one-card hands in final table table situations. When we're this short and ICM is relevant, preserving our stack to use in better situations matters, too-- those chips you spend to defend are more valuable than when you're deeper or the payouts don't matter yet.
Post is why I don't like pre; it's hard to call down with a 3 here, especially when it's easily counterfeited, and if you push you're almost always getting called by better, sometimes drawing virtually dead to trips. Even when you get called by worse, you're never thrilled about your equity. (In this particular spot you've got 51.9% equity, which is not where you want to be all-in as a short stack at the final table given the ICM implications.)
I'd probably flat mid-high suited connectors and jam Ax/Kx/pairs/Broadway suited connectors. I might fold the worst Kx hands, and sometimes flat bad to medium Axo hands depending on the raiser, but suited Ax/Kx I would jam. If I knew raiser was opening hands like Q5o I'm just jamming all Ax hands.
(Aside, I busted someone at a recent final table on a similar hand-- I just completed AA pre to induce a shove from the 10BB big blind, but they checked. Flop was 663, I led out the minimum and they shoved with J3. Maybe that's why I was interested in commenting.)
Last thought: I'm not sure where your confidence that you can coast into 2nd is given that you're the short stack and you'll have less than 13BB if you fold, but if you believe that's true, you should definitely fold pre here. You stand to lose much more than you stand to gain by defending with a hand like this in this situation.
Makes sense, should have folded, In theory it is a defend but in reality