live MTT 40 players at an action club, $200+30 no R/A
down to 12
blinds 1000/500/100
6 handed
avg stack around 15k
hero is CO with 14,000
hero is dealt Q
9
and opens to 3000 (?) - standard open for table
BB is the big stack at the table, has probably 70BB and flats
BB is a pretty straightforward, weakish player who calls too much preflop out of position, plays passive / a bit tighter postflop, have not seen him bluff at all, he became the big stack by calling OOP preflop with low pairs and flopping 2 sets and stacking overpairs.
flop 9
6
3
(6100)
BB checks, hero bets 4000, BB calls
i think he will call me here with a wide range, certainly any 9, many draws, lower PPs or a smaller piece of board, and sometimes A hi in addition to any overpair, 2pr or set. given stack sizes and history i could see him flatting anything maybe even up to JJ pre, and shipping with QQ+ AQ+ (certainly he ships some smaller PP down to like 88 or 77 at times but he could definitely flat his mid pairs pre also)
turn 6
(14100)
BB checks