Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 1,382
Given your reads I think it's a crying fold. This is assuming CO's range is like AQ+,TT+
UTG doesn't have a stack where he "should" be raise/folding, but if it's a tight table (and you're 6 handed) he can be raising wider. If you shove, he can probably only call with like JJ+,AQs+,AKo. If UTG is only calling 30% of the time, a shove is still -cEV
This is not taking into consideration ICM either..