Quote:
Originally Posted by fundiver199
But the thing is, Hero is paying 9BB to win 27BB, if LJ folds, so he only need 33,3% equity against COs range. If LJ also call, Hero is paying 9BB to win 36BB and need 25%. Also LJ is on a capped range, since he initially just call, so he is not "crushing us". Against realistic ranges Hero actually has enough equity to call. But its close, and if its important for Hero to stay and play a little longer without reentering (if that is even possible), then its ok to give up on a marginal spot like this.
Anything LJ calls with is going to be, at worst, decent Ax/Kx and middle pairs that we're behind against and we still have to fade the CO. There's literally no hands that LJ backraises with in this spot that we're ahead of. LJ isn't backraising JT, for example. And there's gonna be plenty of stuff just dominates us, like KQ or AT or maybe even QJ, although I think QJ probably should fold here in LJ's spot.
You could maybe come up with a range construction for both players where we have 25% in a three-way pot, but it's gonna be close and there's also risk premiums to consider. To me this would be a spot where we compound our sizing error by making - at best - a very marginal calloff.