I don't know how many times I have to emphasize "I'd rather shove than fold" and "It's a PKO and people are going to play much wider and more aggressively preflop than in a standard tournament," but
let's try again.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwedishNit
That possibility really didn't came to mind. So say we make it something like 30bb? And That still leaves us with a decision to fold with 70bb left if one or two players shove on us.
I don't like 4-bet/folding TT here because so much of the 5-bet shoving value range is going to be AK. And I doubt anyone is flatting JJ+ behind you, so if you're considering folding to a back-shove I think that's also a mistake. Hence why I would rather shove than fold. If I 4-bet this less than all-in I'm just calling a shove. We have everyone covered, too, so I'm not worried about multiple people getting all-in; as I just said, I don't think anyone behind you has a better hand than you, and the more people who get their money in just means there are more bounties for you to win.
And I emphasize "value range" because it's a PKO. People are going to be playing significantly wider than usual, or should be, because the bounties are such a substantial part of your equity in a tournament like this. (I mean, just look at the hands the other players are calling preflop and calling again after the 3-bet.) And an opponent playing aggressively enough is going to be getting it in with suited connector type hands here, even. You want to fold TT to someone who will 5-bet shove 98s?
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwedishNit
What range would you call a shove from BB with? Personally I would be more inclined to do it with JJ. TT seems a little bit to loose, even considering it's a PKO. At least when we have no reads on BB. Plus a shove would narrow his range, compared to the squeeze, right?
Yeah, I would rather have JJ than TT too because it's a better hand. But TT is still a high enough pair to have a significant edge against overcards (TT has almost a 2% edge on AKo compared to 99 vs. AKo).
Are you talking just a cold 3-bet shove? I guess in theory it should tighten villain's range, but it's also a PKO which means, again, you might just see a shove with a lot of hands that should have robust equity against your calling range, which means suited broadways and the like-- especially if you are properly expanding your calling range to account for the expanded shoving range. And in terms of pure value, a 3-bet shove is more likely to be AK than JJ+.
I think trying to play safely early in a PKO is a mistake. When you get good hands and a chance to get them in, get them in and hope it works out.