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05-04-2023 , 05:35 AM
Last night, I had a hand I just can't figure out if I made the proper decision.

It was a small stakes home tournament, couple hours into it, 3 handed, about 20-25BB average stack at this point.



Here's how it went down:

Hero is the button. Qs 10d

Raises to 2bb

SB folds.

BB calls



Flop:

Qh 3c 10s

BB checks.

Hero bets 3bb.

BB calls



Turn: Jc

BB instant shoves.

Hero has him slightly covered.

Hero:??



It looks like either a stupid obvious straight, or just a weird as hell bluff?

But if itsn't, all I can beat is KK, AA, J10? Maybe a flush draw???

Any help is appreciated.
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05-04-2023 , 12:06 PM
Since it was a home tournament, maybe you have some info on V? What was his stack? But V should not have AK, KK, AA, QQ, or TT here (the last two of which there's only one combo left of each) -- but maybe you think he might due to the rando home game elemennt, especially if you have some info on V. So V's value that beats you should only consist of 33, QJ, K9, and some amount of 89. V can have value that you are ahead of JT, KQ (although that should be 3! pre at some frequency), plenty of semi-bluffs: KJ, J9, Q9, club and combo draws, and in a home game, some rando bluffs too. I think without more info, it's a clear call.
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05-04-2023 , 08:11 PM
Snap call, this isn't even close 3-handed with 20-25BB-ish stacks.
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05-12-2023 , 08:13 PM
value i can think of That beats u : K9(16) QJo(6) 89(2 [i am gonna put 2 cuz he has to be a bit goofy to call vs 3bb 25bb deep]) and lets put AK 4 combos there in case he is not having a clue
so u lose to 16+8+2+4=20 combos
as for the bluffs and values u beat Qcxc (if he calls AK and doesnt 3bet he also calls AQs so i put it here) 10 combos
Tcxc 10 combos
Q9 8 combos
j9 12combos
KT 9 combos
JT 6combos
KJ 12combos
yea he has alot of bluffs and i think i miss some (T9 8 combos)
u avg around 58% eq on the pot if u think he isnt calling u light on the flop AcXc if he does it gets higher also i am not sure how often villan open shoves the nuts on the turn like this this seems more of a bluff to me so the true value range is smaller IMO (but my opinion is sometimes garbage) if u have a 22bb eff the and pot is 2+2+.5+1(if u have bb ante)+3+3=11.5
u need 17/45.5 which makes it 35.7% eq to call vs that range u got 56% even with the biggest riskk prem its a call
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