Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Rick
Thing is I'm not an ICM believer. I personally think it sucks. It doesn't take into consideration the value of more chips in terms of what it enables you to do.
In a very large tournament at the Venetian with 2 very small stacks at the final table I did choose to play ICM-like in order to move up. And yet with 6 players left I limp shoved with AQ when I was SB vs BB. I knew he was going to raise because he did it every single hand basically in this type of position. He had AK and called of course and I sucked out. I risked roughly $15,000 by my play but I thought he would fold over 50% of the time at least. But I wanted to have a big stack so I could navigate better. In the end I finished 3rd which was my biggest cash ever. It allowed me to play hands against the short stacks (which I never won ironically).
I don't see what makes this an example of ignoring ICM. ICM doesn't mean "fold everything" or "play super passively." It means don't get in questionable spots when there's a lot of real money at risk, and when you're at risk of busting out, you want to have ranges and lines that maximize your fold equity unless you have really nutted hands.
Limp/shoving AQ in your spot is more of an ICM-influenced play than raise/calling it would be. Some people might limp/call out of worry of busting out, but I think this hand is a situation where the adjustment of being passive and keeping the pot small is not as good as maximizing your fold equity and trying to end the hand now. (Also, what the stacks are and what your stack is in the hand matters.)
Given your description of his play, I'd think he'd fold far more than 50% of his opens, too.