Quote:
Originally Posted by Tartan1927
lets start from the beginning, good instinct calling, its what you should be doing 100% of the time. Additionally, with ICM people will be limping a much stronger range as the chip value, even to recs, is so much more important in your current structure.
Now that we are multi-way and cant really have an adequate solve lets discuss.
Do we ever fold here if we put him on strong hand?
I believe its less of a if we put him on a good hand, its what his limping range looks like, his limp range, account for it being a bit stronger I would say max is like QJo, I think QJs+ and KQo+ are gonna squeeze with the dead money as well as his relative deeper stack. With that being said though, he has a ton of suited hands that limp as well as middling pairs and suited connectors. Because of this you can fairly easily assume that with his line he's most likely pretty ahead of you. Not that you should put him on a single hand but to me this is such a 76,87,98,T9s line or a 66/77 line, so you're doing fairly average against it. I dont like the jam on the flop I think you just check call.
theres a famous line about how infrequently someone will bluff after winning a big hand, and its much left, I would give him adequate credit here.
keep in mind a CO limp doesn't get to flop too frequently (outside of maybe your table dynamic) so he should be fairly strong.
you 100% should consider folding OTT, I can't think of a hand you beat unless he's doing this with like JJ/TT but thats just so odd to me.
that being said, you want showdown at this point, check and hope it checks through.
what did V end up having?
ps. a personal rule of thumb for me if you are this shallow you kinda gotta play tentative as hell especially with that dynamic. I like the complete, I like the flop call, turn fold might be hero but I feel like might be the best move
Thanks for your thoughts. Definitely makes sense. FYI, though, he is more of a ABC rec, and I don’t think he really thinks about squeezing. I think he’s happy to limp a lot of hands that he should be squeezing.
I hear you on folding turn - at the tlme i felt i was too strong with FD and top pair but if we think about our pair never being good, then we’re just drawing to FD. I guess I thought my two pair outs were live too. I think folding is best turn too even though it’s kind of gross given that we Flop so well.
V ended up having 99. so he limped a hand he should have squeezed, bet the flop which makes sense and continued big on turn once he was ahead of me. I think the bigger sizing on turn showed a lot of strength so I should have folded in retrospect .