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kqs in bb vs utg short stack raise

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09-21-2009 , 01:12 PM

Engel

adept

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 822

The villian is 4/0/0 over 26 hands.

Poker Stars $4.00+$0.40 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50/t100 Blinds - 7 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP: t2469 M = 16.46
CO: t1090 M = 7.27
BTN: t5970 M = 39.80
SB: t7378 M = 49.19
Hero (BB): t3880 M = 25.87
UTG: t850 M = 5.67
UTG+1: t3650 M = 24.33

Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is BB with Q

UTG raises to t850 all in, [i]Hero?

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09-21-2009 , 01:17 PM

Louhi12

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 217

Fold. Why you need to risk chips when you anyway don't have them lot and that guy haven't play any hand. Dont really think hes that guy who shoves K6s UTG just cause he has 8,5bbs and blinds are coming.

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09-21-2009 , 01:17 PM

Vega

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 67

I am probably wrong, but I am going to fold this spot. If the blinds where higher with more dead money (antes), I would call. But I think I need at least 2-1 to call this.

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09-21-2009 , 01:18 PM

Derbos

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,843

snapfold against this guy, i probably fold aqo too

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09-21-2009 , 02:11 PM

PantsOnFire

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 5,720

It's usually pretty close in these situations. Your pot odds are 1000:750 which means you need about 43% hand equity. Here is a reasonably tight range for UTG:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.915% 34.38% 04.53% 223733316 29478038.00 { KQs }
Hand 1: 61.085% 56.55% 04.53% 367986128 29478038.00 { 77+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }

As you can see, if his range includes a few lower pairs and a few more aces, a call might be correct. Even with his stats of 4/0/0, he onlyhas 8.5BBs so he may be shoving quite a bit more than the range I gave in Pokerstove.

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