Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

No Limit Tournaments Discussion about online and live No Limit tournament hands and strategy.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-20-2020, 01:04 AM   #1
CroPoker89
stranger
 
Join Date: Dec 2020
Posts: 2
How much equity do hero need?

Hi!
Live 200$ tournament.
Hero open 4000 on 1000/2000 with AKo
V in BB call. (9k pot)
Flop 862rb
V check Hero bet 7000
V shove 14.000. Hero cover.
Is this ever a fold? How much equity do you need to be a profitable call?
CroPoker89 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 12-28-2020, 05:16 PM   #2
Fletcher2323
journeyman
 
Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 216
Re: How much equity do hero need?

Quote:
Originally Posted by CroPoker89 View Post
Hi!
Live 200$ tournament.
Hero open 4000 on 1000/2000 with AKo
V in BB call. (9k pot)
Flop 862rb
V check Hero bet 7000
V shove 14.000. Hero cover.
Is this ever a fold? How much equity do you need to be a profitable call?

You're calling 7k to win 37K, so you need 19 percent equity for a break-even play. Assuming you want an edge since it's a tourney, you need 23 percent or so. (Maybe higher depending on the tourney situation, other stacks, your skill edge, etc.)

At best, you have a 25 percent chance of hitting an A or K on the turn or river. If villain has any 2 pair or set, you're pretty dead.

Considering that he c/r with not much folding equity, I'd doubt he's on a draw or just bluffing. If he led out with a push, I'd be more inclined to think that's a bluff and call. But a c/r that leaves you 4 to 1 is a bet that wants a call, so he's got to have something.

You're getting the right price (barely) against the one-pair hands, and the wrong price against everything better. Although there are way more one-pair hands than better ones, the fact that it's pretty close even just against the one-pair hands makes me want to fold.
Fletcher2323 is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:50 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2020, Two Plus Two Interactive