ACR $88 deepstack $40k guarantee. I have been running really bad -- my average ROI has dropped from 60% about three months ago to 40% with no big cashes in that time. Sample size is still on the small size, so take stats with a grain of salt (559 MMTs + 159 re-enters).
We are about 4 levels from the re-entry closing and I have top 30% stack, even though I have been extremely card dead -- not a single pair bigger than TT and not one AJ+ until now. V here is UTG+1 and is a skilled player on the LAG-side who is the chip leader at the table with about 95 bbs. I am on the CO, and each player left to act has a perfect re-shove size (10-20 bbs).
OTTH
V opens to 2 bbs. I have A
A
and elect just to call for three reasons (1) disguise the strength of my hand, (2) induce a shove by the players left to act, and (3) the table has folded to most of my pf 3!s. Anyhow, BB flats and we see the flop 3-handed. Better to raise here against the big/skilled stack?
Flop (7 bbs): K
9
6
V c-bets 2.6 bbs. I raise to 7.4 bbs, BB folds, and V pops it back to 20 bbs. I call. Still trying to figure out what to do here. I think the only worse hands that will call if I pile here are flush draws, but I suppose I can get V off a bunch of equity with a shove. But I thought lets just play cautiously and see how it develops IP.
Turn (47 bbs): T
Yuck. V bets 10.5 bbs.I hate that bet -- it seems perfect. But decided I had to call.
River (67 bbs): 5
V piles.
I tank and ...
Thoughts on all streets welcome as I feel I played suboptimally on all of them.