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deep hot 4,40 decision deep hot 4,40 decision

07-07-2015 , 07:18 PM
villain has got vpip=23 pfr=17 on 50 hands..the only thing that i thought was i need chips and he raises me with very big range and i had only 5 bb..however i look again the hand,i doesnt like my call..i hear your thoughts guys..thank you



    Poker Stars, $4 Buy-in (1,250/2,500 blinds, 300 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37015475

    MP3: 41,289 (16.5 bb)
    CO: 8,172 (3.3 bb)
    BTN: 23,258 (9.3 bb)
    SB: 44,426 (17.8 bb)
    Hero (BB): 12,278 (4.9 bb)
    UTG+1: 20,818 (8.3 bb)
    UTG+2: 14,069 (5.6 bb)
    MP1: 9,238 (3.7 bb)
    MP2: 16,885 (6.8 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with J Q
    6 folds, BTN raises to 7,500, SB folds, Hero raises to 11,978 and is all-in, BTN calls 4,478

    Flop: (27,906) K Q A (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    Turn: (27,906) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    River: (27,906) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Spoiler:
    Results: 27,906 pot
    Final Board: K Q A 7 4
    BTN showed A J and won 27,906 (15,628 net)
    Hero showed J Q and lost (-12,278 net)



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    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote
    07-09-2015 , 12:43 AM
    Okie dokie pokie
    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote
    07-09-2015 , 04:41 AM
    Standard. QJs is a monster with 5bb. Unlucky he had AJ but QJs is a must shove here.
    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote
    07-09-2015 , 07:45 AM
    19 PFR on button seems pretty tight (sounds more like 19 PFR overall, his button stats were probably looser... 19% doesn't even include some ax hands or 22-77), but even against that range you're 42%.

    Unless I'm miscalculating something (please correct me, I rarely compute this kind of stuff), your cEV in that spot is roughly +2000

    cEV = 0.42 * 18000 - 0.58*9500. 18000 is the effective chips (since villain has 0% fold) you will win (blinds+ante+villains 12k) if you win the hand, 9500 is what you have to put in to go all in (since your 2.5k BB is already in the pot).
    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote
    07-09-2015 , 07:56 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by irawr123
    19 PFR on button seems pretty tight (sounds more like 19 PFR overall, his button stats were probably looser... 19% doesn't even include some ax hands or 22-77), but even against that range you're 42%.

    Unless I'm miscalculating something (please correct me, I rarely compute this kind of stuff), your cEV in that spot is roughly +2000

    cEV = 0.42 * 18000 - 0.58*9500. 18000 is the effective chips (since villain has 0% fold) you will win (blinds+ante+villains 12k) if you win the hand, 9500 is what you have to put in to go all in (since your 2.5k BB is already in the pot).
    yes i mean 19 pfr overall
    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote
    07-09-2015 , 12:44 PM
    Definitely gii
    deep hot 4,40 decision Quote

          
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