[LOW] Can I fold top set here? - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

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[LOW] Can I fold top set here?

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02-02-2023 , 01:45 AM

david815

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2022 Posts: 86

BTN vs SB and BB SRP. I am at BTN with QQ.
Flop: I small bet, SB check-raise, BB fold, I call.
Turn: SB bets 40%, I call
River: SB bets 1/3

I finally made the call since I think he might block bets with 55 or 66. I am aware that this is a really under-bluff spot, so I should just think of what values I beat. But maybe the villain won't bet that size with set OTT?

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02-02-2023 , 02:10 AM

nath

the second coming of the second coming

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 68,688

I doubt I'd fold for that price. Probably not terribly happy about it but needing to only be right 25% of the time when he could be block-betting/value-betting worse sets or two pair, I'll take my chances.

How deep are we to start the hand? What are blinds? The pot is really 4x your remaining stack?

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02-02-2023 , 03:57 PM

david815

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2022 Posts: 86

55bb deep

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02-03-2023 , 08:42 AM

oldgoat

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 1,972

can't quite work out the stack sizes on the flop but think we should 3b/gii at that stage to get full value

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02-04-2023 , 05:42 PM

HATOOEASY

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 25

defo just re-raising/getting it in vs the raise otf - you get max value from worst sets, two pairs and draws that villain check raises with. As played, folding river.

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02-09-2023 , 05:08 PM

BlitzMonkey

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 307

Just get it in on the flop, very draw heavy, if he is raising with a draw, make him pay, if he has messing around, it's unlikely the board will run out in a way to keep him in the pot, he would have to 3 barrel the whole way with a bluff, and is unlikely to 'get' there with a hand worse than yours that you can get paid for.

Shitty run out, I mean on the river I guess you can fold, since all you beat is a bluff, he will never bet a pair or two pair or a set worse than yours.

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02-10-2023 , 08:18 AM

david815

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2022 Posts: 86

Thank you guys for the reply. Shoving on the flop is a really good suggestion. I just realized I have this shoving option.

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