Quote:
Originally Posted by tweedybirdd
Curious how people read his sizing. It seems pretty poor. At these stakes I tend to read this as a scared made hand -- weighted toward top pairs that beat us and two pairs.
He shouldn't be betting this large on the flop with
any hand, I'm pretty sure. And his sizing significantly narrows our calling range, so when we call and he blasts off again on a turn that strongly connects to the board, I'd just fold. His whole value range with this sizing beats us, and we have no real outs to improve-- I'm not sure we can confidently stack off on any river but a 7. (But we probably will on a king, too.)
There aren't even semibluffs that make sense, really, the way it ran out, because any obvious ones like turned flush draws or straight draws either have enough showdown value not to blast away or shouldn't bet the flop that large in the first place.
If this is live (and maybe online at certain stakes), I actually wouldn't be surprised if he had AA.