Quote:
Originally Posted by EggsMcBluffin
Your question has no answer, there's no number N such that you'd expect a "good player" to never experience a "downswing" at least as large as N buy-ins. There should be absolutely no reason to think that even the truly elite players are immune from losing their asses off over an extended period. You have 0% control over whether or not you win, you merely control whether on not you maximize your EV.
And the notion of "nonvariance" anything is just silly.
Yo eggs, I think you were at my table this past sunday (march 22) in the $215 on ACR. I had an awkard spot against you where i flopped a set on 567 and you called a cbet i believe and folded turn.
As to your post, I think all you can do is study and make sure you aren't making blatant mistakes. You seem to put the work in from what you post on these forums so I would continue the grind. I would say try to get in some live mtts as they are softer and seem to be easier than online however putting in lots of volume is tough.
BTW, I can relate heavily to your post. I'm currently like going through a 300-400 buy in downswing where looking at my graph makes me want to puke bc its straight down. I find it odd when people put in less volume than me however they have a graph going up at higher stakes and idk if they even study per se. I'm not saying i'm some boss or play perfect but i find it odd that i've run really poorly in big spots on ACR lately and it just bothers me. I'm honestly going to take 2-3 months off possibly and just play if they have a big series.
For example- I played $215 this past sunday which is above my standard buy in and made a deep run (finish 31 i think which is lolshit). I lose 77 vs 33 late in a Button jam spot against my bb for 48bb pot and then lose QQ v 10-10 after it goes open/TT flats, I make it 8.3bb and TT backjams and obv binks a T against me. I love poker but stuff like this crushes my soul and makes me want to quit the game. I win both of these pots and i have 7mill out of 66mill and can steamroll to a finaltable. I lose both which should happen maybe 3-4% of time and bust the tourny. The sheer luck involved in mtts just bothers me. I look at my graphs on PT4 and i'm mainly running under expected results in ALL in spots. I just wonder what these crushers that have beautiful graphs are doing and i'm not doing. Whats the secret to running good.
today i make a deep run in an $88 and jam KJ on a k97 flop and get called by qq and he makes some odd flush on river. I just wonder how people handle the variance. I can't.
I played the $630 today as a way to punt the majority of my bankroll on ACR. I made day 2 with short stack and currently 353/ 366 with 360 getting 1k mincash and 182k up top. Prolly my last online tournament for a while.