100K+ downer atm, online only. running like **** for the past 4 months. Feel like my edge is big enough in the HS MTTs but cards are just not falling the right way.
I don't think anything is NOT possible in terms of amount of BI's you can loose in poker. if I could have run bad the past 4+ months, then why can't I run bad the next 4? Every day starts at 0 basically, so theoretically it should be possible.
Variance is so insane and the luck factor in every single tournament is huge. Not a single person winning a $200-1K tournament for over $100k isn't running INSANELY well. Mo-Friday fields are pretty winnable consistently, but the FTOPs,COOPs and Sundays are one big bingo festival. A nice festival, if you run good
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People forget that when they decide to call a 3bet OOP with 9Ts, and the flop comes 678r, it's nice to be up against an over pair instead of a A2s or 44 and not get action. Or when we 3/5b w.Ax suited, villain indeed had garbage. Because even that might be in his range, so are his premiums. Or the times they someone does slowplay AA villain doesn't hit a set, 2p or huge combo draw etc. Variance comes in so many different forms, almost impossible to calculate what is truly possible.
If you play HS MTTs online, post BF (not sure if it's worst because the fields where bigger pre-BF or better since the fields where softer), I would like to believe (else i suck) 60k downswings are pretty normal/standard and not hard to get in too.
Still enjoying this thread as always. Nice posting everyone.