Quote:
Originally Posted by bearer
How would you exploit an opponent you perceive to be betting all flush draws and overly dense in A-high when they check?
The turns and rivers you would attack hyper-aggressively are the exact runouts that improve this hand, which is a great case for x/c.
But personally I would x/r this and most flush draws while x/c non-wheel AXdd.
Well, at the risk of going off on a tangent--and with the caveat that this strategy is probably more appropriate towards the end game when the pot is a huge %-age of our stack and winning chips more clearly translates into winning tournament $EV (and people playing tighter would certainly help too)--if I'm villain, and I'm IP, and I perceive you as checking a mostly A-high and weaker range that's devoid of draws when you're the OR and the flop is [943dd], I'm just going to be ultra aggro and bet out a massive chunk of my range and be barreling basically 100% of that chunk. If your range doesn't have enough pairs--and it's a sick spot for the OR to start checking aces or kings especially combos w/o a diamond--or draws that can float or x/r, or if you aren't comfortable x/c {AK, AQ} for two streets, I'm pretty sure you will be losing in this spot and I'll be printing.
I'm probably splitting my sizings--bigger for bluffs to maximize FE and smaller w/ value to maximize floats--and I'm betting literally every hand that has any semblance of SDV (for value and protection) or hot/cold equity (for value or as a semibluff) or is unblocking the very hands I'm targeting folds from (pure air bluffs)--and I'm mainly targeting folds from A-high because that's what I perceive your range to be mostly--which means basically every K-high combos, every Q-high combo etc. (K-high seems like a decent SDV hand here actually) especially ones w/ a diamond, I'm just going to go bet-bet OTF and OTT and I'm expecting to take down the pot w/o showdown upwards of 80%, maybe more, roughly the likelihood that your A-high doesn't pair up or make a wheel or something like that OTT
At the very least, this is reason for hero in this hand to start w/ a check and go from there. We need combos like this in our checking range so that we have a decent range to continue w/ vs aggression.
And now I feel like I've gone off on a wild tangent so I'll shut up now and hope I don't sound totally off the wall. And if I do, thanks in advance for the dose of sanity